CT-test
0x5ad6a4411d911fbe1f6852e4ca3a9124a315d276
- Realised P&L
- $-66.11
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.86at 0.877US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
- +$7.47at 0.291Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
- +$4.36at 0.570Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?
- +$0.94at 0.982Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?
- +$0.18at 0.992Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:28 | Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.9727707884 | $42.44 |
| 10-08 18:57 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $164.86 |
| 10-08 18:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | SELL | 0.96 | $134.37 |
| 10-08 18:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $134.59 |
| 10-08 18:03 | Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.35 |
| 10-08 17:50 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 10-08 17:01 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.67 |
| 10-08 17:01 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.1741442188 | $8.40 |
| 10-08 16:58 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.40 |
| 10-08 16:55 | Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.14 |
| 10-08 16:55 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.09 |
| 10-08 16:51 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.46 |
| 10-08 16:48 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $15.25 |
| 10-08 16:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $18.16 |
| 10-08 16:39 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $9.26 |