PolyBot

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Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.38. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.35. Range 0.28 to 0.47. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.381,2121,212
0.395,3166,528
0.407227,250
0.411767,426
0.421067,532
0.4387,540
0.46917,631
0.484378,068
0.59508,118
0.90128,130
0.917008,830
0.931538,983

Spread0.01Mid0.38

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.371,0211,021
0.365,6166,637
0.351,9728,609
0.34768,686
0.331428,828
0.322139,041
0.10559,096
0.01279,122

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.631,0211,021
0.645,6166,637
0.651,9728,609
0.66768,686
0.671428,828
0.682139,041
0.90559,096
0.99279,122

Spread0.01Mid0.63

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.621,2121,212
0.615,3166,528
0.607227,250
0.591767,426
0.581067,532
0.5787,540
0.54917,631
0.524378,068
0.41508,118
0.10128,130
0.097008,830
0.071538,983

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
grothYes7,498.59
SnapElectionAvoiderYes3,643.21
ilmari99Yes2,059.1
0xC81b7D9F4464C9985f5621492829ahdfcYes1,990.42
JesetradingYes1,718.04
0x49F206Yes786.31
cd30gfu530p0Yes745.5
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794Yes580.8
0x3a9d…f332Yes531.43
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Yes500
dsfd3Yes320
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes279.04
BanditoesYes257.7
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes240
123987456Yes200
0x65a2…6950Yes174.89
PaddyAlphaYes164.61
trader-9b779399Yes139.99
rocky42019Yes124.1
matgulYes105.26

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:57:48SELLYes0.3725$9.12
11:07:45BUYNo0.629999995317$10.63
01:38:01SELLYes0.368$2.96
23:55:36BUYNo0.6478$50.00
22:41:30BUYNo0.648$5.25
22:41:30BUYNo0.648$5.26
22:41:30SELLYes0.36328$118.07
06:52:06BUYYes0.38100$38.00
03:19:01BUYYes0.3799999996105$40.00
03:15:46BUYNo0.6350$31.50
23:31:22BUYYes0.37999999243$1.00
20:23:03SELLNo0.6350$31.50
17:51:37SELLNo0.622$1.30
17:51:11SELLYes0.340$0.13
17:51:08BUYNo0.6693$61.05
17:51:08SELLYes0.3534987749143$50.50
17:50:53BUYYes0.3944$17.03
17:50:14SELLNo0.616$3.66
17:49:22SELLNo0.614$2.32
17:49:20SELLNo0.6315366500$315.77
17:49:20BUYNo0.6224$15.13
17:49:19BUYYes0.369999999177$28.42
17:49:19BUYYes0.379999999278$29.60
17:49:19BUYYes0.3862$23.69
17:49:19BUYYes0.37999999733$12.60