trader-9b779399
0x9b7793998ecf92bfa3c6b6c3e18a69a1ec7053cd
- Realised P&L
- $127.67
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.91at 0.554Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
- +$3.79at 0.744Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
- +$3.53at 0.560Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
- +$2.27at 0.870Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?
- +$1.20at 0.960US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:42 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.75 |
| 09-16 00:13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $98.42 |
| 09-15 21:32 | Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.933 | $41.10 |
| 09-15 21:31 | Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.932 | $13.68 |
| 09-15 01:34 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $9.74 |
| 09-14 22:35 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.69 |
| 09-14 14:07 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $24.91 |
| 09-14 13:51 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.4064930925 | $7.65 |
| 09-14 13:04 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.54 |
| 09-14 12:35 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $4.50 |
| 09-14 11:08 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.37 |
| 09-14 07:35 | Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.66 |
| 09-14 02:36 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $98.42 |
| 09-14 01:13 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $97.28 |
| 09-13 20:45 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.73 |