PolyBot

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Traders

0x49F206

0x49f206f4fb2210a28af4795e4e0b6532cf0bd7b4

Realised P&L
$-59.2k
Volume
$8.70M
Markets traded
1,528
Open portfolio
$39.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,528
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9430.955$9.5k+$115.00
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6410.745$3.1k+$427.89
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · No0.2810.284$1.7k+$17.50
Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? · No0.5770.750$1.4k+$332.35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4800.525$1.2k+$105.52
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · No0.7700.845$848.38+$75.25
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8900.680$842.52$260.24
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7600.340$758.88$937.14
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? · Yes0.6600.715$716.79+$55.11
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8300.925$680.89+$69.68
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions · Samsung Lions0.4900.257$655.65$596.85
Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8400.830$640.38$7.76
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? · No0.7680.760$629.42$6.47
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · No0.8900.761$616.82$103.88
Will Fjord win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8900.987$498.44+$48.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:38Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?SELL0.012$3.43
09-17 14:38Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?SELL0.98$48.99
09-17 10:02Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?BUY0.0453445479$154.51
09-17 08:17Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.63$3.1k
09-15 02:53Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?BUY0.34$47.94
09-15 02:53Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?BUY0.65$91.65
09-12 23:54Memphis vs. Boise State: O/U 55.5SELL0.81$74.52
09-12 15:10Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by June 30, 2027?BUY0.02$0.32
09-12 03:46Will Rick Devens be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 10)?BUY0.7125$57.00
09-11 00:25Will VfB Stuttgart reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?BUY0.5178438662$139.30
09-10 23:58Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$4.00
09-10 23:58Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$4.00
09-10 23:58Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.002$8.00
09-10 23:58Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.017$19.04
09-09 09:38Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027?SELL0.81$16.20