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Traders

matgul

0x8ca1401b863a621aa53869718c424724cba9f9e7

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$936.86
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$401.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · No0.9890.971$49.09−$0.91
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3800.375$39.47−$0.53
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · No0.8500.845$29.82−$0.18
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes0.2060.208$20.14+$0.14
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026? · No0.9660.963$19.93−$0.07
X banned in any European country by December 31? · No0.9000.880$19.56−$0.44
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · No0.8300.795$19.16−$0.84
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No0.9400.880$18.72−$1.28
Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO? · No0.8630.730$16.91−$3.09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4300.365$16.13−$2.87
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in November 2026? · No0.9100.715$15.71−$4.29
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? · Yes0.4650.483$15.58+$0.58
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · Yes0.5070.335$13.22−$6.78
Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in November 2026? · Yes0.4600.245$10.65−$9.35
Święczkowski charged by December 31? · No0.7300.760$10.41+$0.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:12Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?BUY0.464999993$15.00
11-01 10:12Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
11-01 10:06Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.5069238961$20.00
10-31 05:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4299999952$19.00
10-31 05:22Święczkowski charged by December 31?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
10-31 05:21Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO?BUY0.8633221968$20.00
10-31 05:17Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?BUY0.8723601$30.00
10-31 05:15Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?SELL0.2414100917$78.94
10-30 03:25Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?BUY0.972$5.00
10-30 03:22Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in October 2026?BUY0.9947040743$40.00
10-30 03:21Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9660339636$20.00
10-30 03:19Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?BUY0.3799999996$40.00
10-30 03:18Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.8499999915$30.00
10-30 03:17Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.8299999975$20.00
10-30 03:15Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.2065302895$20.00