matgul
0x8ca1401b863a621aa53869718c424724cba9f9e7
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $936.86
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $401.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.94at 0.153Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?
- +$0.21at 0.995Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in October 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:12 | Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.464999993 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 10:12 | Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 10:06 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.5069238961 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 05:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4299999952 | $19.00 |
| 10-31 05:22 | Święczkowski charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 05:21 | Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO? | BUY | 0.8633221968 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 05:17 | Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8723601 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 05:15 | Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher? | SELL | 0.2414100917 | $78.94 |
| 10-30 03:25 | Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 03:22 | Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in October 2026? | BUY | 0.9947040743 | $40.00 |
| 10-30 03:21 | Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9660339636 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 03:19 | Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $40.00 |
| 10-30 03:18 | Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $30.00 |
| 10-30 03:17 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 03:15 | Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.2065302895 | $20.00 |