Banditoes
0xe7fe17248aab26ed24935921fb81bf0a452624e5
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $379.5k
- Markets traded
- 925
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded925
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.792Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$1.8kat 0.323Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$1.4kat 0.237Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$1.3kat 0.249Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
- +$856.57at 0.374Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 13:46 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.27 | $15.40 |
| 10-31 13:28 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.64 | $89.60 |
| 10-31 12:57 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 11:36 | Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $48.14 |
| 10-31 00:27 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $120.70 |
| 10-30 23:44 | Nawrocki out by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $34.40 |
| 10-30 23:42 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.80 |
| 10-30 23:38 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.56 | $98.06 |
| 10-30 23:27 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8999100529 | $17.01 |
| 10-30 23:26 | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.033 | $3.30 |
| 10-30 23:26 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $13.91 |
| 10-30 23:05 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.938052499 | $89.34 |
| 10-30 23:05 | Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.5236063885 | $81.31 |
| 10-30 23:04 | Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? | SELL | 0.6842759407 | $48.01 |
| 10-30 23:00 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.198 | $53.13 |