PolyBot

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Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.029. down 0.015 over the period, from 0.044. Range 0.029 to 0.055. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0345454
0.0353791
0.06042133
0.06215148
0.08675223
0.08780303
0.090100403
0.11610413
0.131214627
0.132129756
0.46515771
0.46673844

Spread0.009Mid0.030

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0257979
0.0244,6104,689
0.0112324,921
0.01040,01244,933
0.00625045,183
0.00537545,558
0.00446946,027
0.00370746,734
0.0021,44948,183
0.0012,68050,863

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9757979
0.9764,6104,689
0.9892324,921
0.99040,01244,933
0.99425045,183
0.99537545,558
0.99646946,027
0.99770746,734
0.9981,44948,183
0.9992,68050,863

Spread0.009Mid0.970

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9665454
0.9653791
0.94042133
0.93815148
0.91475223
0.91380303
0.910100403
0.88410413
0.869214627
0.868129756
0.53515771
0.53473844

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
SteveTheFishYes431.83
planktonXDYes184.04
387411007415611814092217897387Yes67.9
LornaPredictsYes67.31
GenaTheBondKilIerYes41.99
brightKongYes37
AJSVYes35.63
mustbethewaterYes32.98
PPMTYes30
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192Yes24
Mojito9Yes20.43
donthackmeYes7.63
LucerysYes1.78
0xa5ef…2966No1,669.63
argus-brNo10.53
0x539b…c64fNo2.4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:39:40BUYYes0.02550$1.25
14:37:12SELLYes0.0253$0.08
07:42:49BUYNo0.97513$12.48
07:42:49BUYNo0.97510$9.75
07:40:40BUYNo0.9759$8.68
07:40:40BUYNo0.97510$9.75
21:36:57BUYNo0.97620$19.50
21:36:57BUYNo0.97610$9.76
08:49:36BUYNo0.967$6.72
14:06:10BUYNo0.9715$14.55
14:06:09BUYNo0.969019607831$29.65
01:54:10BUYNo0.95430$28.62
01:54:07BUYNo0.95410$9.54
23:27:19SELLYes0.0410$0.01
23:25:24SELLYes0.04231$1.30
21:52:19BUYNo0.97340$38.92
21:47:04BUYNo0.9749$8.77
21:47:04BUYNo0.97430$29.22
21:25:45BUYNo0.97610$9.76
16:19:40BUYNo0.96310$9.63
16:19:40BUYNo0.96310$9.63
13:37:42BUYNo0.97110$9.71
13:37:42BUYNo0.97110$9.71
13:27:12BUYNo0.97110$9.71
04:44:46BUYNo0.9649$8.68