Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.034. down 0.006 over the period, from 0.040. Range 0.032 to 0.043. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.041	38	38
0.050	176	214
0.051	43	257
0.060	36	293
0.427	21	314
0.429	30	344
0.430	250	594
0.489	45	639
0.490	349	988
0.537	50	1,038
0.538	16	1,054
0.539	25	1,079

Spread0.015Mid0.034

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.026	40	40
0.025	517	557
0.024	4,052	4,608
0.020	26	4,634
0.015	80	4,714
0.012	417	5,131
0.011	455	5,586
0.010	44,012	49,598
0.009	4,450	54,048
0.008	5,000	59,048
0.007	5,714	64,762
0.006	6,667	71,429

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.974	40	40
0.975	517	557
0.976	4,052	4,608
0.980	26	4,634
0.985	80	4,714
0.988	417	5,131
0.989	455	5,586
0.990	44,012	49,598
0.991	4,450	54,048
0.992	5,000	59,048
0.993	5,714	64,762
0.994	6,667	71,429

Spread0.015Mid0.966

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.959	38	38
0.950	176	214
0.949	43	257
0.940	36	293
0.573	21	314
0.571	30	344
0.570	250	594
0.511	45	639
0.510	349	988
0.463	50	1,038
0.462	16	1,054
0.461	25	1,079

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
e46m3	Yes	1,072.35
SteveTheFish	Yes	984.26
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	529.04
balthazar	Yes	510
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	245.89
SpyVsSpy	Yes	243.9
a-mystery	Yes	209.84
GrupoM4	Yes	205.75
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	176.13
marcopolosrhino	Yes	120.95
LornaPredicts	Yes	96.73
387411007415611814092217897387	Yes	67.9
mustbethewater	Yes	54.99
planktonXD	Yes	51.19
UniLB	Yes	42.83
GenaTheBondKilIer	Yes	41.99
crossFiter	Yes	32.35
donthackme	Yes	23.86
Mojito9	Yes	20.43
ghorrock	Yes	20.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:50:58	BUY	Yes	0.0419999991	43	$1.81
14:31:46	BUY	Yes	0.044	25	$1.10
14:31:39	BUY	Yes	0.0439999997	61	$2.69
14:26:42	BUY	Yes	0.04	50	$2.00
17:00:55	BUY	Yes	0.0419999989	30	$1.27
16:04:16	BUY	Yes	0.0409999994	25	$1.04
12:10:25	BUY	No	0.975	3	$3.07
08:42:21	BUY	No	0.975	26	$25.35
04:11:21	BUY	Yes	0.0409999998	244	$10.00
01:29:49	SELL	Yes	0.025	16	$0.40
22:54:42	BUY	Yes	0.04	33	$1.32
13:31:43	BUY	No	0.975	16	$15.33
13:31:43	BUY	No	0.975	5	$4.88
09:11:37	BUY	No	0.975	5	$4.88
07:16:35	BUY	Yes	0.048752047	103	$5.00
01:30:25	BUY	No	0.975	10	$9.75
01:30:25	BUY	No	0.9743613037	15	$14.63
01:29:25	BUY	No	0.9739999995	30	$29.61
01:29:19	BUY	No	0.974	20	$19.48
01:29:19	BUY	No	0.9743333333	30	$29.23
13:44:53	BUY	Yes	0.05	43	$2.15
03:04:09	BUY	Yes	0.04	30	$1.19
17:14:33	BUY	No	0.9750191251	5	$5.00
16:45:03	BUY	Yes	0.0413393964	121	$5.00
12:51:09	BUY	No	0.976	5	$5.00