GrupoM4
0xbd920bf7859cd3ceb4f55d223a56d4cee8783482
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $32.2k
- Markets traded
- 386
- Open portfolio
- $72.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded386
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.30at 0.798Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18?
- +$58.80at 0.579US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
- +$44.93at 0.710US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$41.45at 0.673Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
- +$40.06at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:51 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999919 | $4.65 |
| 10-01 05:50 | Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.85 |
| 10-01 05:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.35 |
| 10-01 05:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.06 |
| 10-01 05:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $2.30 |
| 10-01 05:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.20 |
| 10-01 05:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.9899996535 | $2.20 |
| 10-01 05:38 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999986 | $7.50 |
| 10-01 05:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | SELL | 0.61 | $10.13 |
| 10-01 03:47 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 02:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 02:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 02:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 02:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $5.33 |