PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SpyVsSpy

0x1137007b7133aeecf66e4c456c5663b4f12b4ed5

Realised P&L
$-843.00
Volume
$761.6k
Markets traded
1,356
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,356
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7140.705$996.76$13.23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.8810.970$473.23+$43.23
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · No0.7230.455$409.05$240.94
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.8600.865$402.33+$2.33
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? · No0.9400.974$310.85+$10.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9200.935$304.89+$4.89
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8600.970$225.58+$25.58
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? · No0.9480.984$207.59+$7.59
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8510.875$205.53+$5.53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · No0.9400.955$203.19+$3.19
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · No0.7600.755$198.68$1.32
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · No0.7400.695$187.84$12.16
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · No0.5060.475$183.12$11.88
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.4140.270$141.61$75.39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.6380.195$117.77$267.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:51Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1099999999$10.00
09-15 23:49Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?BUY0.2299999993$50.00
09-15 23:48Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?BUY0.5399999976$50.00
09-15 23:48Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?BUY0.7399999998$200.00
09-15 23:46Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.2999999994$100.00
09-15 23:44Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?BUY0.5499999995$100.00
09-15 23:44Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.7599999992$200.00
09-15 23:44Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.8599999983$400.00
09-12 22:37Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.0973348774$8.00
09-12 22:33Will Iran target Bahrain by September 15, 2026?BUY0.8751516594$50.00
09-12 22:26Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.9399999976$100.00
09-12 07:33NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7799999995$100.00
09-12 07:32Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.7599999964$100.00
09-12 07:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.9199999987$300.00
09-12 07:25Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?SELL0.93$144.00