PolyBot

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Traders

SteveTheFish

0xe917ff331e805261dbc903d39965a6b64ccd9612

Realised P&L
$26.4k
Volume
$1.73M
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0530.027$1.5k$1.5k
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0690.065$1.3k$78.22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.0800.029$688.16$1.2k
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9881.000$279.86+$3.16
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9881.000$279.86+$3.16
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0530.028$174.71$154.33
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1000.170$115.23+$47.45
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0050.004$72.19$14.17
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1560.205$38.06+$9.07
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9901.000$29.98+$0.28
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0570.034$22.36$14.97
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.9801.000$20.09+$0.39
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0170.002$16.94$122.97
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0250.029$12.74+$1.94
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0220.003$0.81$6.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:51Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.0674316648$47.46
09-16 18:28Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.081$38.36
09-16 13:39Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.1199161297$1.5k
09-16 13:31Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.1097509036$801.31
09-14 21:53Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.0664296945$378.57
09-13 23:08Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.07$2.80
09-13 23:08Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0668360384$28.62
09-13 19:36Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0780781621$68.45
09-13 12:38Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0548855289$68.52
09-11 17:07Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.046$49.48
09-11 16:57Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0453297321$70.74
09-11 13:33Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0394242044$11.93
09-11 13:32Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0347809557$18.87
09-11 00:04Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.004$33.15
09-10 23:58Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.033$3.80