SteveTheFish
0xe917ff331e805261dbc903d39965a6b64ccd9612
- Realised P&L
- $36.1k
- Volume
- $2.08M
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.232 | 0.380 | $3.1k | +$1.2k |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.975 | $1.8k | +$16.60 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.013 | $569.09 | −$1.2k |
| Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? · No | 0.990 | 0.992 | $436.26 | +$0.66 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.240 | $213.45 | +$62.51 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $171.21 | +$17.11 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.080 | $78.22 | +$6.78 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.034 | $32.97 | +$8.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.3kat 0.268Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?
- +$6.5kat 0.268Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$6.3kat 0.137Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
- +$5.5kat 0.230Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$5.4kat 0.160Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 14:51 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.2522450811 | $39.36 |
| 11-02 14:51 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.2037593136 | $54.15 |
| 11-02 14:31 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.3934608433 | $158.91 |
| 11-02 13:28 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.08 |
| 10-31 12:42 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.9793156492 | $293.87 |
| 10-30 19:59 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0053486258 | $17.70 |
| 10-30 19:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0032245139 | $17.20 |
| 10-30 19:11 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149921438 | $49.62 |
| 10-30 15:16 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.9695043495 | $503.75 |
| 10-30 15:15 | Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $435.60 |
| 10-30 14:29 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.9870524856 | $601.61 |
| 10-30 14:29 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.9902235737 | $260.52 |
| 10-30 00:03 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.9809046573 | $522.54 |
| 10-30 00:03 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.9819202415 | $3.7k |
| 10-29 23:06 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.326115242 | $1.1k |