PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SteveTheFish

0xe917ff331e805261dbc903d39965a6b64ccd9612

Realised P&L
$29.0k
Volume
$1.16M
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$15.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5740.545$7.1k$375.40
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0840.305$3.6k+$2.6k
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.2060.345$1.1k+$462.03
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No0.9030.935$1.1k+$38.67
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1460.155$945.51+$54.47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.5500.690$437.27+$88.62
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.1950.325$337.91+$135.05
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9880.993$277.90+$1.20
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9880.993$277.90+$1.20
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0040.049$256.89+$236.80
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No0.2500.435$136.80+$58.18
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.1040.100$104.43$4.35
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.3200.535$53.50+$21.50
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9900.993$29.79+$0.09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0720.072$25.87+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:05Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.74$1.2k
08-02 00:12Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.17$62.37
07-31 18:23Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.1484396976$67.55
07-31 15:03Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.1933454244$191.36
07-31 15:03Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.2386216397$607.15
07-31 15:01Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.1460720123$891.05
07-31 15:00Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.1964208564$71.65
07-31 14:59Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.25$78.62
07-31 14:58Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.058$12.70
07-31 14:08Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?BUY0.5405246829$177.71
07-31 14:07Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?BUY0.570952381$59.95
07-31 14:07Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?BUY0.547$10.94
07-31 14:06Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?BUY0.467268901$6.00
07-31 13:57Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?BUY0.3535271168$51.11
07-31 13:49Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.2018844084$51.77