Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-04

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.005. down 0.023 over the period, from 0.029. Range 0.005 to 0.029. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.006	70	70
0.007	55	125
0.008	92	217
0.009	184	401
0.010	184	585
0.011	184	769
0.012	184	953
0.013	184	1,137
0.014	184	1,321
0.015	184	1,505
0.016	184	1,689
0.017	184	1,873

Spread0.001Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.005	355	355
0.004	12	368
0.003	1,829	2,197
0.002	1,133	3,330
0.001	14,860	18,190

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.995	355	355
0.996	12	368
0.997	1,829	2,197
0.998	1,133	3,330
0.999	14,860	18,190

Spread0.001Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.994	70	70
0.993	55	125
0.992	92	217
0.991	184	401
0.990	184	585
0.989	184	769
0.988	184	953
0.987	184	1,137
0.986	184	1,321
0.985	184	1,505
0.984	184	1,689
0.983	184	1,873

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Haradwaith	Yes	1,842.33
balthazar	Yes	1,605.04
0x7dE03619Ba57327BdccAb1966BCd8e8586Ce6b2b-1770687963712	Yes	1,158.11
GroovyCr0c0dil3	Yes	1,000.33
lava-lava	Yes	1,000
eratoxtenex	Yes	999.98
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	936.82
fiter	Yes	820.59
e46m3	Yes	799.31
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	Yes	600
JohnP92	Yes	353.16
0x864796112505fa75Ef02f302759c3211629Bd870-1759443649272	Yes	287.3
bagsbunny	Yes	200
rocky42017	Yes	196.03
Seeking-Alpha01	Yes	190.85
0xF4dB19DED9410106Fa13b53837f22AC7ad01FdDC-1775238476528	Yes	154.05
LornaPredicts	Yes	147.47
0xE2a5A845b90Bcb4F42cd93F01F7eF3857Ab63746-1779289763495	Yes	143.61
0x4bF2Fd408F7270499ad5562aeE66248C3a2b83dD-1770574174710	Yes	138.04
0xE67662c8f05F7704C41149f978F89ee4AE10C6f7-1774037993297	Yes	135.48

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:30:55	SELL	No	0.994	5	$4.97
18:30:51	SELL	Yes	0.005	247	$1.23
15:10:49	BUY	No	0.995	20	$19.93
15:10:49	BUY	No	0.995	30	$29.85
15:10:49	BUY	No	0.995	128	$127.24
15:10:49	BUY	No	0.995	50	$49.75
10:28:46	SELL	Yes	0.009	107	$0.96
06:43:06	SELL	Yes	0.009	0	$0.00
23:02:45	BUY	Yes	0.0169999998	59	$1.00
21:10:54	BUY	No	0.979	33	$32.31
21:10:54	BUY	No	0.979	10	$9.79
21:10:54	BUY	No	0.9789999998	30	$29.48
21:10:54	BUY	No	0.994354	200	$198.87
21:10:54	BUY	No	0.979	135	$132.16
21:10:54	BUY	No	0.979	20	$19.61
21:10:54	BUY	No	0.979	5	$4.89
11:18:55	BUY	No	0.979	6	$5.87
11:18:55	BUY	No	0.979	10	$9.79
11:18:55	BUY	No	0.979	5	$4.89
02:07:19	BUY	No	0.979	12	$11.75
22:48:55	BUY	No	0.979	52	$51.32
21:46:10	BUY	No	0.979	40	$39.16
21:46:10	BUY	No	0.979	20	$19.58
21:44:24	SELL	Yes	0.021	26	$0.55
21:41:10	BUY	No	0.979	20	$19.58