PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x864796112505fa75Ef02f302759c3211629Bd870-1759443649272

0x864796112505fa75ef02f302759c3211629bd870

Realised P&L
$681.28
Volume
$193.6k
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2840.495$946.97+$404.22
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5680.365$550.16−$306.23
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.8390.785$471.30−$32.06
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes0.5250.450$270.00−$45.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0500.303$121.20+$101.20
Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0010.006$11.84+$9.87
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · No0.4310.018$6.21−$142.44
Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0080.003$4.56−$8.17
Will André Luís win the Governor of Maranhão election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.85−$4.25
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.0150.001$0.50−$14.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? · Yes0.0500.002$0.43−$13.93
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$6.00
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$10.80
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$29.97
Will Folarin Balogun score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.0720.000$0.00−$58.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 15:15Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.8389333333$503.36
10-04 12:44Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.52$223.95
09-28 11:59Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.001$1.97
09-11 12:01Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.546$65.52
08-31 11:05Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.5583538654$290.34
08-28 15:03Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.002$9.48
08-27 20:54Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.66$33.93
08-26 20:192026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.51$21.25
08-24 15:31Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.034$68.17
08-20 21:23Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?SELL0.88$263.98
08-17 20:55Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$6.88
08-17 20:50Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0352668445$16.93
08-12 11:41Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.077$95.08
08-10 20:56Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?SELL0.004$0.05
08-10 20:56Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$3.27