rocky42017
0xf16dd3586eb9ca2b002a0498548b15439991b7f9
- Realised P&L
- $11.9k
- Volume
- $8.17M
- Markets traded
- 5,306
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,306
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.085Will Chile win on 2025-11-18?
- +$1.7kat 0.28476ers vs. Bulls
- +$1.4kat 0.626Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$1.4kat 0.210Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?
- +$1.2kat 0.242Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:11 | Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs | SELL | 0.64 | $51.20 |
| 10-31 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.44 | $6.16 |
| 10-31 01:07 | Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5) | SELL | 0.25 | $18.50 |
| 10-30 18:18 | Grazer AK 1902 vs. TSV Hartberg: TSV Hartberg O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.75 | $59.25 |
| 10-30 17:11 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | SELL | 0.421 | $12.63 |
| 10-29 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 29? | SELL | 0.51 | $75.99 |
| 10-28 21:14 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.44 | $5.28 |
| 10-23 21:38 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.64 |
| 10-23 19:29 | Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Playoffs | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-23 13:05 | Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs | SELL | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 10-23 05:41 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.70 |
| 10-22 12:17 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | SELL | 0.159 | $7.95 |
| 10-22 02:47 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.953 | $28.59 |
| 10-20 21:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 20? | SELL | 0.57 | $25.65 |
| 10-20 19:00 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | SELL | 0.379 | $54.58 |