PolyBot

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Traders

rocky42017

0xf16dd3586eb9ca2b002a0498548b15439991b7f9

Realised P&L
$11.9k
Volume
$8.17M
Markets traded
5,306
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,306
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.9230.927$250.44+$1.28
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No0.2120.195$233.86−$20.15
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9410.945$223.33+$0.93
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? · No0.9200.915$221.20−$1.21
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · No0.9380.945$211.06+$1.45
Jonathan Majors as Kang? · No0.9290.910$208.50−$4.24
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 1? · No0.4440.420$155.59−$8.97
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? · No0.2240.584$125.68+$77.49
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 1? · No0.4420.635$106.68+$32.49
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · No0.6900.773$95.13+$10.27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.1870.075$89.08−$133.57
Celonis IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2360.089$84.88−$138.57
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? · Yes0.2170.065$81.24−$190.25
Rippling IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2220.065$81.24−$196.48
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2800.265$79.27−$4.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:11Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Championship PlayoffsSELL0.64$51.20
10-31 23:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1?SELL0.44$6.16
10-31 01:07Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)SELL0.25$18.50
10-30 18:18Grazer AK 1902 vs. TSV Hartberg: TSV Hartberg O/U 0.5SELL0.75$59.25
10-30 17:11Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.421$12.63
10-29 05:52Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 29?SELL0.51$75.99
10-28 21:14Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?SELL0.44$5.28
10-23 21:38Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.14$3.64
10-23 19:29Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 PlayoffsSELL0.51$10.20
10-23 13:05Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsSELL0.4$20.00
10-23 05:41Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.15$2.70
10-22 12:17Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.159$7.95
10-22 02:47Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?SELL0.953$28.59
10-20 21:36Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 20?SELL0.57$25.65
10-20 19:00Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.379$54.58