0x7dE03619Ba57327BdccAb1966BCd8e8586Ce6b2b-1770687963712
0x7de03619ba57327bdccab1966bcd8e8586ce6b2b
- Realised P&L
- $435.29
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $18.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? · Yes | 0.279 | 0.046 | $12.40 | −$62.80 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.005 | $6.37 | −$105.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.69at 0.417Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$89.76at 0.603Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$85.35at 0.762Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
- +$81.22at 0.730Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$63.59at 0.827Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 01:18 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? | BUY | 0.0965367776 | $111.80 |
| 07-22 02:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.2786273764 | $73.28 |
| 07-07 20:27 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.12 | $64.01 |
| 07-07 20:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.81 | $14.39 |
| 07-07 20:26 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0043248685 | $15.88 |
| 07-07 20:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.19602713 | $151.73 |
| 07-07 20:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.61 | $61.10 |
| 07-07 02:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | SELL | 0.3971325263 | $252.62 |
| 07-04 15:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 07-04 15:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.2721297858 | $224.25 |
| 07-02 15:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.298 | $8.82 |
| 07-02 15:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.299 | $14.66 |
| 07-02 00:41 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.2 | $133.38 |
| 07-02 00:41 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.189 | $125.69 |
| 07-02 00:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.766116079 | $363.26 |