PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x7dE03619Ba57327BdccAb1966BCd8e8586Ce6b2b-1770687963712

0x7de03619ba57327bdccab1966bcd8e8586ce6b2b

Realised P&L
$435.29
Volume
$29.0k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$18.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? · Yes0.2790.046$12.40$62.80
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? · Yes0.0970.005$6.37$105.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 01:18Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?BUY0.0965367776$111.80
07-22 02:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?BUY0.2786273764$73.28
07-07 20:27Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.12$64.01
07-07 20:26Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?SELL0.81$14.39
07-07 20:26Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0043248685$15.88
07-07 20:26Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?SELL0.19602713$151.73
07-07 20:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.61$61.10
07-07 02:09Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?SELL0.3971325263$252.62
07-04 15:47Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?SELL0.27$13.50
07-04 15:33Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?SELL0.2721297858$224.25
07-02 15:12Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?SELL0.298$8.82
07-02 15:12Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?SELL0.299$14.66
07-02 00:41Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?BUY0.2$133.38
07-02 00:41Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?BUY0.189$125.69
07-02 00:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.766116079$363.26