Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-04

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.051. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.051. Range 0.008 to 0.054. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.069	43	43
0.072	10	53
0.073	5	58
0.074	100	158
0.075	26	184
0.077	50	234
0.078	40	274
0.081	40	314
0.144	95	409
0.145	30	439
0.154	100	539
0.160	169	708

Spread0.035Mid0.052

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.034	118	118
0.033	30	148
0.029	10	158
0.020	50	208
0.016	63	271
0.006	60	331
0.005	100	431
0.004	1,874	2,305
0.003	2,513	4,818
0.002	1,642	6,460
0.001	12,879	19,339

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.966	118	118
0.967	30	148
0.971	10	158
0.980	50	208
0.984	63	271
0.994	60	331
0.995	100	431
0.996	1,874	2,305
0.997	2,513	4,818
0.998	1,642	6,460
0.999	12,879	19,339

Spread0.035Mid0.949

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.931	43	43
0.928	10	53
0.927	5	58
0.926	100	158
0.925	26	184
0.923	50	234
0.922	40	274
0.919	40	314
0.856	95	409
0.855	30	439
0.846	100	539
0.840	169	708

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
GroovyCr0c0dil3	Yes	2,166.69
bagsbunny	Yes	2,055.36
balthazar	Yes	1,605.04
catalanpaths	Yes	1,397.51
Seeking-Alpha01	Yes	1,053.89
Nadmi	Yes	933.7
e46m3	Yes	799.32
HerrieDavis	Yes	719.69
fiter	Yes	650
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	513.28
ZiK.	Yes	397.95
planktonXD	Yes	276.77
mantou11	Yes	274.58
0x7dE03619Ba57327BdccAb1966BCd8e8586Ce6b2b-1770687963712	Yes	269.57
LornaPredicts	Yes	268.22
0xF4dB19DED9410106Fa13b53837f22AC7ad01FdDC-1775238476528	Yes	189.52
0x8298004C04EF05a98aEFD6ad34cD8E8CcCa9A2cC-1771363570208	Yes	170.95
Sr.Matiaz	Yes	146.44
antonioftm	Yes	134.17
tradetosurvive1	Yes	133.19

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:03:46	SELL	No	0.939	5	$4.69
01:05:55	BUY	Yes	0.025	5	$0.13
22:06:54	BUY	Yes	0.0719999994	69	$5.00
15:10:49	BUY	Yes	0.0577956633	398	$23.00
13:38:55	SELL	Yes	0.0162309469	130	$2.11
04:58:45	SELL	No	0.9884855173	583	$576.40
13:37:25	SELL	No	0.989	188	$185.93
13:16:24	SELL	Yes	0.012	100	$1.20
03:45:19	BUY	Yes	0.052	21	$1.08
01:00:51	SELL	Yes	0.021	5	$0.11
23:33:57	BUY	Yes	0.0523216713	77	$4.02
23:33:43	BUY	Yes	0.0411674836	1,398	$57.53
21:10:54	BUY	No	0.994	33	$32.80
21:10:54	BUY	No	0.994	20	$19.91
21:10:54	BUY	No	0.994	200	$198.80
21:10:54	BUY	No	0.994	135	$134.19
11:23:04	BUY	Yes	0.0239659185	209	$5.00
11:18:55	BUY	No	0.991	6	$5.95
11:18:55	BUY	No	0.991	5	$4.96
11:18:55	BUY	No	0.991	10	$9.91
18:19:42	SELL	Yes	0.0134210538	1,851	$24.84
17:48:27	SELL	Yes	0.0272397589	820	$22.33
15:22:12	SELL	Yes	0.035	14	$0.51
14:42:55	SELL	Yes	0.0351709603	763	$26.83
13:17:54	BUY	Yes	0.038490424	130	$5.00