LocchioDiBenfica
0x8298004c04ef05a98aefd6ad34cd8e8ccca9a2cc
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $26.9k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $687.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.206Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$20.03at 0.280Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-1.01at 0.118Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
- +$-6.38at 0.064Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 02:41 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.3189999835 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 02:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 01:27 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1319999996 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 01:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.0866473446 | $7.00 |
| 10-31 01:07 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0439999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 01:06 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 01:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 12:59 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.0752614474 | $3.80 |
| 10-30 12:58 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 12:57 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 12:53 | Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0155508903 | $6.00 |
| 10-30 12:52 | Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.015 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 12:51 | Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0449999998 | $6.00 |
| 10-29 17:51 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? | BUY | 0.047 | $0.63 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? | BUY | 0.044 | $0.22 |