catalanpaths
0xc9727ed498a58a9e8e8758d51c5a4eb0b752dcd9
- Realised P&L
- $20.1k
- Volume
- $294.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,242
- Open portfolio
- $14.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,242
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.003Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?
- +$940.99at 0.288Cuiabá EC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
- +$926.22at 0.043Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
- +$583.65at 0.009Will "Ass" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?
- +$456.38at 0.004Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:33 | Will anyone say "Jail" during House of the Dragon E7 S3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-02 19:22 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.1332967653 | $13.47 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.58 | $116.00 |
| 08-02 17:01 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.129975 | $259.95 |
| 08-02 16:42 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.223 | $11.15 |
| 08-02 16:30 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | SELL | 0.777 | $15.54 |
| 08-02 15:56 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.39 | $35.10 |
| 08-02 15:39 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.3883333333 | $11.65 |
| 08-02 13:03 | Will Emiliano Martinez join Juventus? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-02 01:43 | Will William Foxen win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 01:28 | Will William Foxen win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.32 |
| 08-02 01:28 | Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 08-02 01:19 | Will Naoya Kihara win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.88 |
| 08-02 01:19 | Will William Foxen win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.49 | $5.25 |