PolyBot

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Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-07-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.27. down 0.38 over the period, from 0.65. Range 0.16 to 0.66. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.28425425
0.29105530
0.3150580
0.34224804
0.4014817
0.5010827
0.5520847
0.815852
0.8250902
0.8420922
0.852,2393,161
0.9653,166

Spread0.02Mid0.27

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.26362362
0.25107469
0.2410479
0.1251530
0.0234564
0.0177641

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.74362362
0.75107469
0.7610479
0.8851530
0.9834564
0.9977641

Spread0.02Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.72425425
0.71105530
0.6950580
0.66224804
0.6014817
0.5010827
0.4520847
0.195852
0.1850902
0.1620922
0.152,2393,161
0.0453,166

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
spxtestYes506.13
politodeYes370
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13Yes200.59
smith-domYes196.77
KnightTerasYes173.75
molodoyyYes162.54
xtxpleasecallmeYes159.81
needleladderYes118.19
AboveLookUpYes76.67
hfvYes73.65
LaribobiboYes55
WarriorHYes54.31
GuyFromTinderYes50
0xd2d3E93862A6033d9648ef915B1525865c777bb3-1789898420454Yes50
lucassimasbotfarmYes50
bigdihhh888Yes50
MilfahkaYes50
0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332Yes50
youyizhiguanggYes50
ultra-povertyYes41

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:06:36SELLNo0.711$0.49
06:03:51SELLNo0.78101$79.07
05:44:31BUYYes0.19100$19.00
04:39:06BUYNo0.8255$45.03
03:32:06BUYYes0.25100$25.00
03:15:06BUYNo0.7725$19.29
03:14:58SELLYes0.2314$3.21
03:05:06BUYNo0.769999999226$20.00
02:59:57SELLYes0.2612$3.11
02:54:39BUYNo0.739999991127$20.00
02:50:40SELLNo0.684$3.04
02:50:39BUYNo0.6533241752852$556.44
02:50:39BUYNo0.70328850$35.16
02:50:39BUYNo0.669999999354$36.50
23:38:42BUYNo0.669999991111$7.50
23:38:42SELLYes0.3411$3.87
23:15:18SELLYes0.3410$3.40
19:44:39SELLNo0.673839508552$35.10
19:36:13BUYNo0.7310$7.30
19:36:12BUYNo0.6920$13.80
19:36:12BUYNo0.6910$6.90
19:36:12SELLYes0.331428571470$23.20
18:59:06BUYNo0.6610$6.60
18:59:06BUYNo0.6620$13.20
18:59:06BUYNo0.66100$66.00