politode
0x5fa687878b5d9af02926501e15e7db39c91046ee
- Realised P&L
- $-348.50
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $80.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.10at 0.178Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.430Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 00:05 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.28 |
| 10-14 18:18 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.72 |
| 10-13 18:41 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $110.00 |
| 10-13 18:40 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-13 18:39 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 10-13 18:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 10-13 18:37 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.17 |
| 10-13 18:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $12.25 |
| 10-11 13:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.58 |
| 10-06 17:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $20.98 |
| 10-06 14:24 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $19.58 |
| 09-28 15:27 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.13 |
| 09-25 05:24 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $15.42 |
| 09-22 15:19 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.085 | $6.63 |
| 09-22 03:05 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.50 |