Milfahka
0xa3a67b5558aad9cb9900e849cb14d1f7662d9964
- Realised P&L
- $-199.20
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $183.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.70at 0.217Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
- +$98.48at 0.036Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?
- +$91.90at 0.344US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$87.33at 0.126Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$54.00at 0.484Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:21 | Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M? | SELL | 0.0104396411 | $3.65 |
| 10-31 04:10 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.1 | $12.30 |
| 10-24 05:05 | Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m? | SELL | 0.6 | $13.54 |
| 09-20 07:25 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.53 | $38.16 |
| 09-19 05:17 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.084 | $16.80 |
| 09-17 16:26 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 09-17 16:26 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.36 | $17.99 |
| 09-16 14:28 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 09-09 05:00 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.3 | $49.50 |
| 09-08 05:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 04-29 21:36 | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 04-29 21:17 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 04-29 21:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $12.00 |
| 04-29 21:16 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.60 |
| 04-21 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 21? | BUY | 0.5 | $14.25 |