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Traders

ultra-poverty

0x810f548651551a1e171c8d7279bd29ed68b057aa

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$77.5k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? · Yes0.3550.983$982.48+$627.49
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.7650.785$785.23+$20.31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · No0.3800.981$610.09+$373.64
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · Yes0.6560.921$557.23+$160.22
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.5030.378$197.72$65.62
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4100.415$154.88+$1.87
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.2100.295$147.50+$42.50
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5390.560$87.35+$3.30
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3120.255$61.97$13.86
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · No0.4200.640$39.03+$13.42
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1800.095$38.00$34.00
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026? · Yes0.6800.685$13.70+$0.10
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026? · Yes0.5400.560$11.20+$0.40
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? · Yes0.0150.001$0.48$13.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 08:48Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5388480031$84.05
09-22 08:25Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?BUY0.68$13.60
09-22 08:25Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.54$10.80
09-21 14:35Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?BUY0.2195$21.95
09-21 14:34Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?BUY0.23$1.15
09-18 21:30Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.668828125$171.22
09-18 16:31Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?BUY0.0848218655$58.86
09-18 16:30Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.6469165974$225.79
09-18 14:41Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?SELL0.05$9.58
09-18 14:40Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?SELL0.0686443331$4.38
09-18 14:39Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?SELL0.1252140565$32.00
09-17 11:12Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026?SELL0.002$1.47
09-17 11:12Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?SELL0.537$13.43
09-16 13:25Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026?BUY0.0492791002$36.19
09-16 13:15Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.552$13.80