0xd2d3E93862A6033d9648ef915B1525865c777bb3-1789898420454
0xd2d3e93862a6033d9648ef915b1525865c777bb3
- Realised P&L
- $8.00
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $372.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.73at 0.023Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$12.94at 0.237Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?
- +$10.96at 0.190Will Morocco win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group A?
- +$8.80at 0.060Will the Republican Party win the UT-02 House seat?
- +$7.88at 0.106Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 04:01 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-15 03:55 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 10-15 03:27 | Will Daniel Craig be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 10-15 01:27 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 10-14 21:29 | Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 10-14 20:45 | Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 10-14 19:47 | Will Nicole Malliotakis be the next US Ambassador to Greece? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-14 16:41 | Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.68 |
| 10-14 14:06 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $56B? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 10-14 09:18 | Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $26B? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 10-14 02:01 | Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 10-13 15:10 | Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 10-13 12:53 | Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.113 | $2.26 |
| 10-13 11:53 | Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.75 |
| 10-13 10:04 | Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |