PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd2d3E93862A6033d9648ef915B1525865c777bb3-1789898420454

0xd2d3e93862a6033d9648ef915b1525865c777bb3

Realised P&L
$8.00
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$372.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31? · Yes0.4970.485$29.10−$0.70
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026? · No0.6070.425$25.50−$10.95
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? · No0.6730.660$19.80−$0.40
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7170.525$18.11−$6.64
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $20 by June 30, 2027? · No0.5900.425$17.00−$6.60
First Round Outright Winner in the Vermont Governor Election? · Yes0.7700.790$15.80+$0.40
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $63B? · No0.8200.765$15.30−$1.10
Will the cure (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.7710.708$14.15−$1.27
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election? · Yes0.6400.655$13.10+$0.30
Danaher (DHR) Q3 non-GAAP core revenue growth 3% to 4.5%? · Yes0.4450.320$12.80−$5.00
Will "Ray Gunn" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6200.635$12.70+$0.30
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $10 in 2026? · Yes0.2800.290$11.60+$0.40
Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026? · Yes0.3650.290$11.60−$3.00
Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1470.089$8.90−$5.80
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? · Yes0.3700.435$8.70+$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 04:01Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election?BUY0.34$6.80
10-15 03:55Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election?BUY0.29$5.80
10-15 03:27Will Daniel Craig be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.68$6.80
10-15 01:27Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.54$10.80
10-14 21:29Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?BUY0.43$8.60
10-14 20:45Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.31$6.20
10-14 19:47Will Nicole Malliotakis be the next US Ambassador to Greece?BUY0.21$4.20
10-14 16:41Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.28$1.68
10-14 14:06Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $56B?BUY0.48$9.60
10-14 09:18Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $26B?BUY0.19$3.80
10-14 02:01Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?BUY0.46$9.20
10-13 15:10Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?BUY0.42$8.40
10-13 12:53Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.113$2.26
10-13 11:53Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.07$1.75
10-13 10:04Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.23$6.90