needleladder
0x4462e46cf0d31466693058893f4913e2411fbfdf
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $482.2k
- Markets traded
- 5,782
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,782
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$765.97at 0.013Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$395.76at 0.013Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$354.93at 0.013Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$276.00at 0.500Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$223.74at 0.557Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.44 |
| 09-09 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.84 |
| 09-09 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.96 |
| 09-09 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.12 |
| 09-09 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.80 |
| 09-09 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.76 |
| 09-09 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.84 |
| 09-09 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.52 |
| 09-09 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.80 |
| 09-09 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.84 |
| 09-09 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-09 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-09 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 09-09 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-09 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |