Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.11. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.12. Range 0.10 to 0.12. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	8,778	8,778
0.13	2,959	11,736
0.14	253	11,990
0.22	15	12,005
0.23	50	12,055
0.32	15	12,070
0.56	22	12,092
0.57	155	12,247
0.59	435	12,682
0.61	5	12,687
0.64	10	12,697
0.70	5	12,702

Spread0.02Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	661	661
0.09	4,971	5,632
0.08	6,098	11,730
0.05	8	11,738
0.04	4,700	16,438
0.03	3,673	20,110
0.02	5,000	25,110
0.01	14,327	39,437

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	661	661
0.91	4,971	5,632
0.92	6,098	11,730
0.95	8	11,738
0.96	4,700	16,438
0.97	3,673	20,110
0.98	5,000	25,110
0.99	14,327	39,437

Spread0.02Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	8,778	8,778
0.87	2,959	11,736
0.86	253	11,990
0.78	15	12,005
0.77	50	12,055
0.68	15	12,070
0.44	22	12,092
0.43	155	12,247
0.41	435	12,682
0.39	5	12,687
0.36	10	12,697
0.30	5	12,702

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	1,034.7
jjams	Yes	833.33
kohalacoastgabe	Yes	831.6
goatboss	Yes	797.6
0xbD450488900ed2Df9D599C3f81cf213B95030369-1767569779250	Yes	706.9
NTYLD	Yes	705.75
Papizii	Yes	527.2
OB10	Yes	482.61
0x3277…4d96	Yes	454.55
Ssss112	Yes	416.67
Avitz33	Yes	400
Pogadol	Yes	313.09
0xe8E67292e839456C9789eB1bcFE9389Cb341dc07-1750776804057	Yes	285.74
Shishkabaab	Yes	271.43
ffrog	Yes	262
0x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-1771508511872	Yes	208.68
Tsgr	Yes	207.12
Dr.PNL	Yes	206.98
0x45dC306f9a4bd8aC2B0Cec603BA56C79e2730F24-1775554257422	Yes	203.22
Ofekjan98	Yes	199.72

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:27:21	SELL	Yes	0.1	56	$5.62
01:27:09	BUY	No	0.8899999986	56	$50.00
17:53:46	BUY	No	0.9	5	$4.50
17:52:19	BUY	No	0.9	2	$1.99
17:52:18	BUY	Yes	0.1199999999	417	$50.00
07:28:44	BUY	Yes	0.1	50	$5.00
04:47:26	SELL	Yes	0.1	13	$1.25
20:21:32	SELL	No	0.87	50	$43.50
20:21:29	SELL	No	0.88	84	$73.91
19:28:21	BUY	Yes	0.11	9	$1.03
19:25:59	SELL	Yes	0.1	15	$1.52
19:25:51	SELL	Yes	0.1	0	$0.00
19:25:51	SELL	Yes	0.1	50	$5.00
19:25:48	SELL	No	0.88	1	$0.56
19:25:48	BUY	No	0.89	65	$58.05
19:25:47	BUY	No	0.8899999997	65	$58.05
19:25:47	BUY	No	0.8899999991	81	$71.72
19:25:47	SELL	Yes	0.11	91	$9.97
07:01:27	SELL	No	0.87	17	$14.83
13:22:20	SELL	No	0.87	16	$13.59
13:15:56	SELL	No	0.8743010753	23	$20.33
06:49:44	SELL	No	0.87	17	$14.82
11:40:09	SELL	Yes	0.1	14	$1.43
05:42:29	BUY	No	0.899999928	6	$5.00
10:43:45	SELL	Yes	0.11	50	$5.50