Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2025-10-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.09. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.12. Range 0.08 to 0.12. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	5	5
0.10	9	14
0.11	260	274
0.12	387	661
0.13	196	857
0.14	83	940
0.15	1,264	2,204
0.22	15	2,219
0.45	25	2,244
0.55	10	2,254
0.56	22	2,276
0.57	155	2,431

Spread0.01Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	41	41
0.07	223	264
0.06	1,100	1,364
0.05	2,212	3,576
0.04	446	4,022
0.03	3,227	7,249
0.02	6,314	13,563
0.01	16,700	30,263

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	41	41
0.93	223	264
0.94	1,100	1,364
0.95	2,212	3,576
0.96	446	4,022
0.97	3,227	7,249
0.98	6,314	13,563
0.99	16,700	30,263

Spread0.01Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	5	5
0.90	9	14
0.89	260	274
0.88	387	661
0.87	196	857
0.86	83	940
0.85	1,264	2,204
0.78	15	2,219
0.55	25	2,244
0.45	10	2,254
0.44	22	2,276
0.43	155	2,431

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
goatboss	Yes	4,026.59
Pulser	Yes	1,518.6
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	1,034.7
jjams	Yes	833.33
estoicc	Yes	763.88
0xbD450488900ed2Df9D599C3f81cf213B95030369-1767569779250	Yes	706.9
NTYLD	Yes	705.75
Quilty	Yes	531.54
OB10	Yes	482.61
0x3277…4d96	Yes	454.55
Avitz33	Yes	400
Pogadol	Yes	313.09
0xe8E67292e839456C9789eB1bcFE9389Cb341dc07-1750776804057	Yes	285.74
ffrog	Yes	262
0x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-1771508511872	Yes	208.68
Tsgr	Yes	207.12
0x45dC306f9a4bd8aC2B0Cec603BA56C79e2730F24-1775554257422	Yes	203.22
Ofekjan98	Yes	199.72
GuyTIV	Yes	178.47
HaBzihi	Yes	151.52

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:01:06	SELL	No	0.9	1	$1.00
07:36:30	BUY	No	0.92	50	$46.00
07:13:03	SELL	No	0.89	50	$44.50
07:11:15	SELL	No	0.9	98	$88.12
07:10:18	SELL	No	0.9039572919	162	$146.47
20:40:10	SELL	No	0.91	5	$4.55
16:40:41	BUY	Yes	0.0899999928	11	$1.00
18:31:28	BUY	Yes	0.09	100	$9.00
14:09:28	BUY	No	0.92	5	$5.00
20:50:25	SELL	Yes	0.08	86	$6.87
20:49:25	SELL	Yes	0.08	150	$12.00
20:48:34	SELL	Yes	0.09	16	$1.44
20:48:06	SELL	Yes	0.09	178	$15.97
20:47:36	SELL	Yes	0.1	23	$2.31
17:36:13	SELL	Yes	0.1	39	$3.89
15:37:51	SELL	Yes	0.1	48	$4.76
14:50:37	BUY	No	0.9	50	$45.00
12:49:55	BUY	No	0.89999928	1	$1.00
10:42:24	BUY	No	0.89	101	$90.30
07:53:52	BUY	No	0.8899999999	171	$152.00
01:35:37	BUY	Yes	0.1285499552	39	$5.00
20:55:57	SELL	No	0.88	14	$12.64
19:57:58	SELL	No	0.88	30	$26.40
18:40:36	BUY	No	0.89	10	$8.90
10:15:33	BUY	No	0.8899999493	2	$1.58