Ssss112
0x1a2e98cfeac24395fd40aca6c03ee2b01335edbd
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $84.6k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $297.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$431.01at 0.100US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$245.71at 0.140Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$95.88at 0.510Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?
- +$84.00at 0.160Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?
- +$78.34at 0.561Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | BUY | 0.0088312783 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 18:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.0189834297 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 17:52 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 17:51 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BUY | 0.0705386757 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 17:50 | Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? | BUY | 0.0283803991 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.029856367 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 17:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | BUY | 0.0108044651 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 17:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 03-07 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | SELL | 0.4409950752 | $5.89 |
| 03-07 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3690049506 | $4.86 |
| 03-07 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3497542277 | $4.87 |
| 03-07 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.6503557979 | $7.62 |
| 03-07 20:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $4.85 |
| 03-07 20:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $6.65 |
| 03-07 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4590048882 | $4.85 |