Papizii
0x19a39a6c567ba11ac270e04684ac73e0d2d97345
- Realised P&L
- $-5.02
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $117.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.355 | $59.17 | +$9.17 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.110 | $57.99 | +$5.27 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.58at 0.221Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$29.37at 0.630Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$12.15at 0.790Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 08:26 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $52.72 |
| 09-24 08:20 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 08:12 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.402 | $104.40 |
| 08-02 15:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $60.00 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.99 | $60.14 |
| 08-01 22:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7899999984 | $48.00 |
| 08-01 21:51 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999979 | $30.00 |
| 07-07 10:13 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2139999971 | $55.58 |
| 07-07 10:10 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $50.00 |