Pogadol
0x4e4947c687138f94fbcb7076acf0168f03dc0fa6
- Realised P&L
- $-72.31
- Volume
- $528.53
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $26.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes | 0.335 | 0.085 | $26.61 | −$78.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.08at 0.919Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 10:46 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.3353706065 | $105.00 |
| 05-25 10:45 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SELL | 0.975440958 | $105.07 |
| 05-23 23:23 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.9189999977 | $99.00 |