PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x45dC306f9a4bd8aC2B0Cec603BA56C79e2730F24-1775554257422

0x45dc306f9a4bd8ac2b0cec603ba56c79e2730f24

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$135.5k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$141.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1630.095$67.03−$47.97
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0990.017$33.33−$166.66
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.2210.110$22.35−$22.65
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.023$19.13−$80.67
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$237.33
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$15.00
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$20.00
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$15.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$100.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 07:06Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1$15.00
10-28 06:59Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.33$270.33
08-24 02:01Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.006$2.81
07-27 06:29Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.0707679425$89.16
07-24 05:54Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.0449999913$4.80
07-23 15:40Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?SELL0.016$4.75
07-20 06:02Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.2299998841$1.25
07-20 06:00Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.2202671503$179.24
07-19 03:30Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5399999981$100.00
07-19 03:29Argentina to score first vs. Spain?BUY0.3799999951$20.00
07-16 04:44Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
07-16 04:44Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.16$15.00
07-15 09:36Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
07-15 09:36Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.08$10.00
07-15 09:36Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1699999871$10.00