0x45dC306f9a4bd8aC2B0Cec603BA56C79e2730F24-1775554257422
0x45dc306f9a4bd8ac2b0cec603ba56c79e2730f24
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $135.5k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $141.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.54at 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$109.34at 0.125Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
- +$99.99at 0.133Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?
- +$84.21at 0.227Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
- +$62.94at 0.532England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 07:06 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $15.00 |
| 10-28 06:59 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.33 | $270.33 |
| 08-24 02:01 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.006 | $2.81 |
| 07-27 06:29 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.0707679425 | $89.16 |
| 07-24 05:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.0449999913 | $4.80 |
| 07-23 15:40 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | SELL | 0.016 | $4.75 |
| 07-20 06:02 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2299998841 | $1.25 |
| 07-20 06:00 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2202671503 | $179.24 |
| 07-19 03:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 03:29 | Argentina to score first vs. Spain? | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 07-16 04:44 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 04:44 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 09:36 | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 09:36 | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 09:36 | Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |