PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NTYLD

0x5a33573d982b5dc92cef5ad2da6ca51e43fe7302

Realised P&L
$-635.56
Volume
$38.5k
Markets traded
416
Open portfolio
$317.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded416
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.1130.110$77.63−$2.00
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.3670.075$74.39−$289.85
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? · No0.7000.545$38.15−$10.85
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2900.355$36.72+$6.72
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.175$30.88+$0.88
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.2700.235$25.85−$3.85
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.2270.065$20.80−$51.80
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.2260.436$9.82+$4.74
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1510.017$1.81−$14.78
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0460.004$0.87−$9.13
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0140.002$0.60−$5.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5430.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4820.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$21.83
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5900.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 05:57Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.27$29.70
10-19 17:52Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0458584122$10.00
10-19 06:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2899999996$30.00
10-18 16:40Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.32$10.00
10-18 16:40Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?BUY0.0919999993$10.00
10-01 12:18Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?SELL0.185852$18.59
09-03 07:53Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.04$11.80
08-28 15:15Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.993$16.13
08-26 11:50Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August?BUY0.38$11.40
08-26 11:50Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in August?BUY0.17$0.95
08-11 16:43Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.4897057869$135.82
08-09 14:21Israeli election results in a hung parliament?BUY0.7$15.46
08-07 08:19US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?BUY0.48$47.10
08-01 17:36U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.998$113.08
07-30 10:19U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.3529999961$40.00