NTYLD
0x5a33573d982b5dc92cef5ad2da6ca51e43fe7302
- Realised P&L
- $-635.56
- Volume
- $38.5k
- Markets traded
- 416
- Open portfolio
- $317.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded416
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.50at 0.250US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
- +$89.90at 0.100Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$73.09at 0.353U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$60.59at 0.585Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$60.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 05:57 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $29.70 |
| 10-19 17:52 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0458584122 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 06:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 16:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 16:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0919999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 12:18 | Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? | SELL | 0.185852 | $18.59 |
| 09-03 07:53 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $11.80 |
| 08-28 15:15 | Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $16.13 |
| 08-26 11:50 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 08-26 11:50 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in August? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.95 |
| 08-11 16:43 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.4897057869 | $135.82 |
| 08-09 14:21 | Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | BUY | 0.7 | $15.46 |
| 08-07 08:19 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $47.10 |
| 08-01 17:36 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $113.08 |
| 07-30 10:19 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.3529999961 | $40.00 |