PolyBot

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Traders

ffrog

0xfd3d7eb51ccdb7f6c85630134c0f1be13db9c306

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$57.1k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$28.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.3300.110$28.82−$57.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-19 03:47Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?SELL0.7120015663$2.6k
01-16 07:51Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.729$2.6k
01-16 01:58Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?SELL0.768$2.5k
10-15 08:38Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?BUY0.9869999774$28.52
03-17 09:23Grizzlies vs. KingsBUY0.4399997779$1.03
03-17 08:50Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?SELL0.97$2.83
03-17 08:36Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?BUY0.970999999$2.84
12-19 04:02Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?BUY0.4599999955$49.00
12-19 03:57Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?SELL0.994$51.84
12-19 03:57Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?BUY0.995$51.89