Tsgr
0x519ed493ad584b22707eb1b0709cee1a589dedbd
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $56.8k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $60.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.160US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$792.66at 0.157US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$5.40at 0.340US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$-5.00at 0.012Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?
- +$-5.00at 0.010Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 14:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 14:38 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 14:38 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.079980005 | $20.00 |
| 08-23 08:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.92 |
| 08-23 08:29 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-18 08:36 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.755 | $44.80 |
| 08-01 13:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.95 |
| 08-01 13:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 13:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.3599999938 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 00:03 | US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 00:01 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.2794253093 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 00:01 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 23:45 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? | BUY | 0.0480531608 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 23:41 | Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0479999912 | $5.00 |