PolyBot

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Traders

Tsgr

0x519ed493ad584b22707eb1b0709cee1a589dedbd

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$56.8k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$60.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.2320.085$17.61$30.39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.1500.105$10.50$4.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.0810.035$9.39$12.61
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1340.041$9.20$20.80
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2300.770$4.53+$3.18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1770.165$3.78$0.27
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2330.091$2.93$4.57
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3100.145$2.34$2.66
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$5.00
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$5.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$5.25
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$20.00
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$7.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$3.95
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 14:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.16$2.00
09-12 14:38Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.15$15.00
09-12 14:38Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.079980005$20.00
08-23 08:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?SELL0.07$2.92
08-23 08:29Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
08-18 08:36Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?SELL0.755$44.80
08-01 13:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?BUY0.1$3.95
08-01 13:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?BUY0.16$5.00
08-01 13:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?BUY0.25$10.00
08-01 13:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?BUY0.3599999938$30.00
08-01 00:03US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0179999965$5.00
08-01 00:01Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.2794253093$30.00
08-01 00:01Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.02$5.00
07-31 23:45Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?BUY0.0480531608$10.00
07-31 23:41Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0479999912$5.00