PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Tsgr

0x519ed493ad584b22707eb1b0709cee1a589dedbd

Realised P&L
$3.1k
Volume
$56.3k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$170.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2300.425$27.72+$12.71
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1340.100$22.44$7.56
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.3540.225$19.05$10.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · Yes0.3600.165$13.75$16.25
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.2980.100$13.40$26.60
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2330.399$12.86+$5.35
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.3070.090$11.14$26.86
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.2790.095$10.20$19.80
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0500.021$8.51$11.49
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0180.021$5.83+$0.83
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? · Yes0.0480.028$5.83$4.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · Yes0.2500.090$3.60$6.40
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3100.195$3.15$1.85
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0350.019$2.79$2.21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.0900.110$2.44+$0.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 13:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?BUY0.1$3.95
08-01 13:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?BUY0.16$5.00
08-01 13:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?BUY0.25$10.00
08-01 13:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?BUY0.3599999938$30.00
08-01 00:03US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0179999965$5.00
08-01 00:01Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.2794253093$30.00
08-01 00:01Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.02$5.00
07-31 23:45Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?BUY0.0480531608$10.00
07-31 23:41Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0479999912$5.00
07-31 23:38Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.0349999935$5.00
07-31 23:37Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0503022952$20.00
07-31 23:36Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.3542586443$30.00
07-31 23:35Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.2985074627$40.00
07-04 17:52Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
07-04 17:49Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.261797015$15.00