Tsgr
0x519ed493ad584b22707eb1b0709cee1a589dedbd
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $78.6k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $506.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.160US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$792.66at 0.157US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$5.40at 0.340US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$-5.00at 0.012Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?
- +$-5.00at 0.010Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 09:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.1674876843 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 07:32 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 10-28 07:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 10-28 07:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 10-28 07:25 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $16.00 |
| 10-28 07:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.25 |
| 10-27 07:35 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2699999988 | $25.00 |
| 10-26 20:52 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $87.75 |
| 10-26 20:48 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $87.75 |
| 10-26 17:19 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.60 |
| 10-24 22:06 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $27.12 |
| 10-24 21:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.5346534626 | $50.00 |
| 10-24 21:22 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 18:20 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1332111675 | $183.70 |
| 10-19 11:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.3899999976 | $50.00 |