PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Tsgr

0x519ed493ad584b22707eb1b0709cee1a589dedbd

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$78.6k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$506.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2970.350$185.92+$27.92
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.4510.465$103.10+$3.10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.3590.315$70.88−$9.87
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2560.355$51.94+$14.44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? · No0.0510.037$26.62−$9.69
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.2320.110$22.78−$25.22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? · No0.1670.185$22.09+$2.09
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1340.034$7.52−$22.48
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2330.159$5.12−$2.38
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2300.723$4.25+$2.90
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1770.175$4.01−$0.04
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3100.135$2.18−$2.82
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.1500.003$0.30−$14.70
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$5.00
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 09:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?BUY0.1674876843$20.00
10-28 07:32Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$58.00
10-28 07:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.37$37.00
10-28 07:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.06$30.00
10-28 07:25Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?BUY0.016$16.00
10-28 07:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.05$10.25
10-27 07:35Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2699999988$25.00
10-26 20:52Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?SELL0.04$87.75
10-26 20:48Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?SELL0.04$87.75
10-26 17:19Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?SELL0.06$6.60
10-24 22:06Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?BUY0.08$27.12
10-24 21:24Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.5346534626$50.00
10-24 21:22Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999997$50.00
10-23 18:20Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1332111675$183.70
10-19 11:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.3899999976$50.00