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Traders

0xbD450488900ed2Df9D599C3f81cf213B95030369-1767569779250

0xb8ac7189ca44e98dbf0a024024d96530310e965c

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$30.3k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$160.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.0800.080$100.55+$0.55
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.1410.085$60.09$39.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$100.00
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.2730.000$0.00$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 22:53Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.2734269105$200.00
07-23 20:54Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.359000036$598.33
07-19 15:41Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.591$347.64
07-17 19:59Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.0795656064$100.00
07-17 19:59Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.1414618995$100.00
07-17 19:56Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.1799999996$300.00
06-11 23:05Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.449999955$5.00
06-11 18:29Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1399999976$50.00
06-11 18:27Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
06-07 19:08Iran closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.5303121685$510.90
06-07 18:05Iran closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.2075995727$200.00
05-26 22:00Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSELL0.99$13.37
05-26 21:55Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.3699999674$5.00
05-26 17:44Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.1299999789$5.00
05-26 15:49Iran closes its airspace by May 24?BUY0.0073000527$100.00
Trader 0xbD450488900ed2Df9D599C3f81cf213B95030369-1767569779250 · PolyBot Pro