0xbD450488900ed2Df9D599C3f81cf213B95030369-1767569779250
0xb8ac7189ca44e98dbf0a024024d96530310e965c
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $160.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.080 | $100.55 | +$0.55 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.085 | $60.09 | −$39.91 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Up | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Down | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes | 0.273 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Down | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$310.90at 0.207Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$298.33at 0.180Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$238.05at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$43.61at 0.195Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
- +$12.52at 0.551Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 22:53 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.2734269105 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 20:54 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.359000036 | $598.33 |
| 07-19 15:41 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.591 | $347.64 |
| 07-17 19:59 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.0795656064 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 19:59 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.1414618995 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 19:56 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.1799999996 | $300.00 |
| 06-11 23:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 18:29 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-11 18:27 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-07 19:08 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.5303121685 | $510.90 |
| 06-07 18:05 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.2075995727 | $200.00 |
| 05-26 22:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $13.37 |
| 05-26 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 05-26 17:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 05-26 15:49 | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY | 0.0073000527 | $100.00 |