PolyBot

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Traders

Ofekjan98

0x8103d60b41fb5ce5e4e77410f3644e953ac04d0a

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$208.7k
Markets traded
536
Open portfolio
$135.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded536
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.175$51.47+$1.47
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1700.135$39.71−$10.29
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.1250.110$21.97−$3.03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0800.045$16.88−$13.13
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2900.085$5.86−$14.14
Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5) · Bermuda0.3030.000$0.00−$100.00
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.2710.000$0.00−$63.65
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Costa Rica? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$20.00
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$20.00
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$65.00
Spread: Denmark (-1.5) · Denmark0.4400.000$0.00−$100.00
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.1260.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30? · No0.0170.000$0.00−$10.00
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$103.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 20:18Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.13$31.97
09-06 03:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.16$20.00
09-06 03:58Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.1170329799$25.00
09-06 03:56Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.1251733131$25.00
08-27 12:03Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?BUY0.0795783556$11.32
08-22 20:47Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.0834437039$15.00
08-16 20:38Will Racing Club De Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?BUY0.1293532287$20.00
08-16 00:21Will Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?BUY0.2296173002$30.00
08-16 00:17Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0676548712$7.00
08-02 02:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.08$20.00
07-27 00:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?BUY0.0217513151$10.00
07-27 00:11Will SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?BUY0.25$30.00
07-25 03:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.09$20.00
07-25 02:17Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.08$20.00
07-25 02:05Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.089999996$20.00