PolyBot

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Traders

kohalacoastgabe

0x63e30d708e4f5ad12581730e5fbaf0e53646f341

Realised P&L
$-10.1k
Volume
$3.00M
Markets traded
286
Open portfolio
$6.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded286
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2680.503$2.3k+$1.1k
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6300.695$1.1k+$103.18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2670.215$806.09$193.90
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0490.057$700.47+$100.49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1780.171$286.76$13.24
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2050.145$283.19$116.81
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1840.038$202.74$765.53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0830.065$156.76$43.24
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.1290.095$147.09$52.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.065$120.22$379.77
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · Yes0.2520.040$63.50$336.50
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes0.0780.049$62.59$37.41
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1710.105$61.24$38.76
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0870.005$44.14$655.84
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.5900.001$0.25$299.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 23:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.2838367682$300.00
09-09 01:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.5498480455$500.00
09-08 19:26US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.5898033986$300.00
08-19 03:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.2599999996$500.00
08-19 03:53US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?BUY0.4399999996$500.00
08-18 18:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.2599999991$200.00
08-18 18:10Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0547325493$50.00
08-18 18:08Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3996003996$100.00
08-18 18:05Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.171449144$100.00
08-10 02:55Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?BUY0.2519743051$400.00
08-09 18:28Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.0787310961$142.38
08-09 18:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.06$171.93
08-09 18:27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$218.18
08-01 03:15Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.3899610035$500.00
07-29 19:44Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.088999996$20.00