kohalacoastgabe
0x63e30d708e4f5ad12581730e5fbaf0e53646f341
- Realised P&L
- $-11.6k
- Volume
- $3.00M
- Markets traded
- 291
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded291
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.730Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.655France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$2.4kat 0.587US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.760Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$1.5kat 0.800Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 02:03 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.1486751218 | $200.00 |
| 10-20 02:02 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.1274612247 | $214.37 |
| 10-08 16:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.3114632705 | $130.00 |
| 10-07 02:06 | Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.3058829592 | $200.00 |
| 10-07 02:00 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? | BUY | 0.1077431403 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 02:00 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.1202504538 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 23:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2838367682 | $300.00 |
| 09-09 01:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5498480455 | $500.00 |
| 09-08 19:26 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5898033986 | $300.00 |
| 08-19 03:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2599999996 | $500.00 |
| 08-19 03:53 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.4399999996 | $500.00 |
| 08-18 18:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2599999991 | $200.00 |
| 08-18 18:10 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0547325493 | $50.00 |
| 08-18 18:08 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3996003996 | $100.00 |
| 08-18 18:05 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.171449144 | $100.00 |