Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.21. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.20 to 0.24. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	24	24
0.23	25	49
0.24	140	189
0.25	233	422
0.27	100	522
0.28	158	680
0.29	194	874
0.30	61	935
0.66	20	955
0.67	1,361	2,317
0.68	2,000	4,317
0.71	857	5,174

Spread0.02Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	10	10
0.19	74	84
0.18	148	232
0.17	247	479
0.16	716	1,195
0.15	1,018	2,213
0.14	260	2,473
0.13	661	3,134
0.12	1,410	4,544
0.11	1,239	5,783
0.10	400	6,183
0.08	6	6,188

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	10	10
0.81	74	84
0.82	148	232
0.83	247	479
0.84	716	1,195
0.85	1,018	2,213
0.86	260	2,473
0.87	661	3,134
0.88	1,410	4,544
0.89	1,239	5,783
0.90	400	6,183
0.92	6	6,188

Spread0.02Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	24	24
0.77	25	49
0.76	140	189
0.75	233	422
0.73	100	522
0.72	158	680
0.71	194	874
0.70	61	935
0.34	20	955
0.33	1,361	2,317
0.32	2,000	4,317
0.29	857	5,174

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
EasyGoingA	Yes	5,112.36
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	3,486.78
ChainReaction-392	Yes	837.31
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	478.01
rgess	Yes	249.99
0x23d81ba9371e576015c1e562db09c689f56c028	Yes	106.4
0x1C5Da48636d951c8D97910147828259A4F3d63eD-1772437683177	Yes	101.4
GamerBolo	Yes	100
0x29412927729808cAC3D26c2525C98AA9fdE8DAD2-1773478424614	Yes	84.21
rocky42017	Yes	74.36
Bravo414	Yes	56.67
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454	Yes	50
AJSV	Yes	23
Qhodja-PS	Yes	21.96
Utp	Yes	21.67
0x228859377F93c9e5921BE691296b87d3f61700C6-1768373980803	Yes	20
HerrieDavis	Yes	15.5
0xA3457270B1Af97655927511e1D588eF09D8B5a44-1768118881131	Yes	14.29
0xd823721597A464008050819ECC2d6C2c43E512fE-1782111812111	Yes	10
0xFe6bd9872614a7123781275901eDBf412095cA57-1768085182718	Yes	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:34:51	BUY	Yes	0.2099998677	5	$1.00
14:21:23	BUY	No	0.8099999757	1	$1.00
07:41:21	BUY	No	0.81	4	$3.00
07:08:38	BUY	No	0.8067729074	62	$50.00
23:10:42	BUY	No	0.79	7	$5.53
23:09:36	BUY	No	0.79	13	$10.26
21:26:14	BUY	No	0.79	6	$4.74
11:15:36	SELL	Yes	0.23	10	$2.30
23:00:30	SELL	Yes	0.21	5	$0.95
09:42:42	BUY	No	0.7950289717	1,653	$1314.45
06:20:39	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.98
06:19:39	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.98
06:19:20	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.98
06:19:18	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.98
06:19:00	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.98
06:18:59	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.98
06:18:47	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.98
06:18:47	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.98
06:18:33	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.98
06:18:32	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.98
06:15:18	BUY	No	0.77	1	$1.00
06:15:05	BUY	No	0.77	1	$1.00
06:15:00	BUY	No	0.77	1	$1.00
06:14:54	BUY	No	0.77	1	$1.00
06:14:51	BUY	No	0.77	1	$1.00