Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.10 to 0.13. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	65	65
0.12	50	115
0.13	280	396
0.14	274	670
0.15	200	870
0.16	100	970
0.17	2,008	2,978
0.18	20	2,998
0.21	10	3,008
0.22	22	3,030
0.23	27	3,057
0.24	20	3,078

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	5	5
0.08	5	10
0.06	10	20
0.05	103	123
0.04	351	474
0.03	520	994
0.02	1,000	1,995
0.01	1,951	3,945

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	5	5
0.92	5	10
0.94	10	20
0.95	103	123
0.96	351	474
0.97	520	994
0.98	1,000	1,995
0.99	1,951	3,945

Spread0.01Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	65	65
0.88	50	115
0.87	280	396
0.86	274	670
0.85	200	870
0.84	100	970
0.83	2,008	2,978
0.82	20	2,998
0.79	10	3,008
0.78	22	3,030
0.77	27	3,057
0.76	20	3,078

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
EasyGoingA	Yes	3,771.41
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	3,486.78
ChainReaction-392	Yes	1,723.51
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	808.07
goatboss	Yes	774.46
kohalacoastgabe	Yes	583.26
vincentfire	Yes	460
rgess	Yes	249.99
purebaby	Yes	116
0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b	Yes	106.4
0x1C5Da48636d951c8D97910147828259A4F3d63eD-1772437683177	Yes	101.4
0x29412927729808cAC3D26c2525C98AA9fdE8DAD2-1773478424614	Yes	84.21
rocky42017	Yes	74.36
suntori	Yes	72.67
Bravo414	Yes	56.67
a5533	Yes	50
AJSV	Yes	25.92
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454	Yes	25
Utp	Yes	21.67
0x228859377F93c9e5921BE691296b87d3f61700C6-1768373980803	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:00:03	BUY	No	0.8898524423	970	$862.97
22:27:16	SELL	No	0.87	6	$4.94
22:13:55	BUY	No	0.8799998733	6	$5.00
09:43:58	SELL	No	0.88	80	$70.40
07:38:58	BUY	No	0.88	50	$44.00
03:54:36	BUY	No	0.8825071603	567	$500.00
08:47:10	BUY	No	0.88	50	$44.00
02:33:27	BUY	No	0.88	98	$86.24
01:34:48	BUY	No	0.88	63	$55.44
20:04:48	BUY	No	0.88	50	$44.00
10:47:27	SELL	No	0.863714	100	$86.37
12:19:22	SELL	No	0.87	12	$10.79
04:55:21	BUY	No	0.8799999507	11	$10.00
21:05:28	SELL	No	0.87	12	$10.14
15:50:13	BUY	No	0.8799999865	30	$26.00
18:51:07	BUY	No	0.88	10	$8.80
21:48:18	BUY	No	0.8799999962	105	$92.00
12:59:42	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.40
23:14:00	BUY	No	0.8830045578	137	$121.00
15:13:21	BUY	No	0.8799999648	1	$1.00
09:51:10	SELL	Yes	0.12	8	$0.96
15:15:28	SELL	No	0.87	11	$9.54
04:45:24	SELL	Yes	0.12	16	$1.86
04:43:37	SELL	Yes	0.12	21	$2.52
23:46:19	SELL	Yes	0.13	12	$1.50