Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.10 to 0.14. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	5	5
0.15	39	45
0.16	95	139
0.17	10	149
0.18	20	169
0.19	20	189
0.21	10	199
0.22	22	221
0.23	32	253
0.24	36	289
0.25	33	322
0.28	1,000	1,322

Spread0.03Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	30	30
0.10	60	90
0.09	1,934	2,023
0.08	1,003	3,027
0.07	1,472	4,499
0.06	99	4,598
0.05	505	5,103
0.04	1,755	6,858
0.03	2,891	9,749
0.02	3,845	13,594
0.01	8,816	22,409

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	30	30
0.90	60	90
0.91	1,934	2,023
0.92	1,003	3,027
0.93	1,472	4,499
0.94	99	4,598
0.95	505	5,103
0.96	1,755	6,858
0.97	2,891	9,749
0.98	3,845	13,594
0.99	8,816	22,409

Spread0.03Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	5	5
0.85	39	45
0.84	95	139
0.83	10	149
0.82	20	169
0.81	20	189
0.79	10	199
0.78	22	221
0.77	32	253
0.76	36	289
0.75	33	322
0.72	1,000	1,322

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	3,486.78
EasyGoingA	Yes	3,448.08
ChainReaction-392	Yes	1,723.51
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	808.07
goatboss	Yes	774.46
kohalacoastgabe	Yes	583.26
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	267.93
rgess	Yes	249.99
hugecaulk	Yes	150
vincentfire	Yes	124.01
xy7873	Yes	119.79
0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05	Yes	106.4
jkbasfvpbaef	Yes	97.25
0x29412927729808cAC3D26c2525C98AA9fdE8DAD2-1773478424614	Yes	84.21
rocky42017	Yes	74.36
Bravo414	Yes	56.67
meagainsttheworld	Yes	32.61
Shaylion	Yes	30.07
a5533	Yes	29.2
0x6c06…2607	Yes	27

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:35:07	BUY	No	0.91	5	$5.00
10:35:03	BUY	Yes	0.1406074241	36	$5.00
04:06:28	SELL	No	0.85	9	$7.29
03:57:54	BUY	No	0.92	5	$4.60
03:57:52	BUY	No	0.9199999914	5	$4.28
03:57:51	BUY	No	0.8976923077	130	$116.70
12:55:28	BUY	No	0.8899999733	3	$3.00
19:41:34	BUY	Yes	0.13	150	$19.50
17:40:31	SELL	Yes	0.1	101	$10.14
00:31:25	BUY	Yes	0.12	30	$3.60
14:34:22	SELL	Yes	0.1038270188	78	$8.14
16:03:57	SELL	No	0.8641666667	24	$20.74
01:29:24	SELL	Yes	0.09	10	$0.90
20:45:38	SELL	Yes	0.11	20	$2.20
05:30:39	SELL	Yes	0.12	50	$6.00
02:31:06	BUY	No	0.87	60	$52.20
11:05:57	BUY	Yes	0.1542416452	97	$15.00
15:57:33	SELL	Yes	0.1275007501	67	$8.50
13:01:18	BUY	Yes	0.15	30	$4.50
06:54:44	BUY	Yes	0.15	5	$0.75
06:54:39	BUY	Yes	0.15	10	$1.50
23:55:12	BUY	Yes	0.13	116	$15.06
23:55:06	BUY	Yes	0.13	100	$13.00
17:51:03	BUY	Yes	0.12	108	$12.90
17:48:35	BUY	Yes	0.12	200	$24.00