xy7873
0x77fdf010041f0822dfe625458da04590d82d380a
- Realised P&L
- $43.42
- Volume
- $700.97
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $74.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.365 | $21.95 | +$5.27 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.175 | $15.75 | +$0.45 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.125 | $14.97 | +$2.99 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.360 | $14.40 | +$3.20 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.045 | $7.65 | −$2.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.84at 0.382Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-0.25at 0.080Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 22:21 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.75 |
| 10-27 19:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 10-27 11:18 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 11:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $30.00 |
| 10-27 11:04 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3819999971 | $30.00 |