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Traders

vincentfire

0x7144f8fa344af262f86b058ba164029c6e946624

Realised P&L
$1.69
Volume
$1.10M
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2290.205$505.66$59.69
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1420.165$310.03+$42.57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1300.140$195.75+$13.64
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.1550.145$154.37$11.18
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1390.105$48.30$15.70
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.0210.015$33.02$14.36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.0670.065$32.50$0.79
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0500.040$3.95$1.05
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0300.032$3.86+$0.13
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? · Yes0.0530.075$3.75+$1.11
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? · Yes0.1600.170$3.40+$0.20
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0210.028$2.31+$0.51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0320.030$0.60$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$32.00
09-16 15:23Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.023$0.92
09-16 14:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.23$23.00
09-16 14:16Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.23$23.00
09-15 22:31Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?SELL0.16$32.00
09-15 22:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.23$11.50
09-15 22:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.23$46.00
09-14 03:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.392$164.64
09-14 02:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.402$8.20
09-12 14:15Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.06$6.00
09-12 13:21Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?SELL0.033$2.48
09-12 08:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?SELL0.1$20.00
09-12 07:03Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?SELL0.035$6.86
09-11 14:02Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?SELL0.037$3.24
09-11 13:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$4.00