EasyGoingA
0xc3907f00ba3fd35ef96c3b9afa1483b644af2a1f
- Realised P&L
- $19.2k
- Volume
- $994.3k
- Markets traded
- 340
- Open portfolio
- $30.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded340
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.7kat 0.470Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$13.9kat 0.146Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$7.1kat 0.618US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$5.5kat 0.484Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$4.0kat 0.313Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $0.14 |
| 11-01 11:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 11-01 11:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 11-01 11:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 11-01 11:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 11-01 11:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.38 |
| 10-31 13:32 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 10-31 13:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $64.93 |
| 10-31 13:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 10-31 13:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 10-28 05:06 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.146 | $1.46 |
| 10-28 05:06 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.146 | $1.46 |
| 10-28 05:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-26 13:46 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 10-26 13:46 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $28.40 |