PolyBot

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Traders

Bravo414

0xcd9661393d5a92d3b2ff3c3e1d9c26df11759ee4

Realised P&L
$291.86
Volume
$101.6k
Markets traded
195
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded195
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1830.825$494.56+$384.56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2940.235$267.62$67.24
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · Yes0.0960.045$257.14$292.85
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · No0.6910.870$251.95+$51.95
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.7280.895$232.20+$43.20
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5660.635$229.92+$24.92
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? · Yes0.3800.835$219.74+$119.74
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.6700.625$186.57$13.43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7700.835$162.72+$12.72
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2170.265$149.99+$26.99
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.4030.270$147.44$72.56
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2510.032$94.84$660.19
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.2440.245$80.35+$0.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.400$78.43$21.57
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.4640.210$70.84$85.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:36Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.2399999993$53.00
09-15 21:35Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.95$52.77
09-12 03:46Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-02 10:27Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.289467584$127.06
09-02 10:26US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$130.87
09-02 08:57Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2899999982$95.81
09-02 08:56Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.9012603513$99.04
09-02 08:54Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2899999983$82.99
08-31 21:08US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?BUY0.7$30.00
08-31 21:04Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.005$1.88
08-31 21:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4299999996$300.00
08-31 21:00Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$62.48
08-31 20:59Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?SELL0.94$39.71
08-31 20:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.9689792033$319.63
08-27 04:49NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999945$33.00