PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Bravo414

0xcd9661393d5a92d3b2ff3c3e1d9c26df11759ee4

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$95.0k
Markets traded
191
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded191
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8030.865$323.28+$23.28
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · Yes0.0960.055$314.29$235.71
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.4830.895$277.83+$127.83
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2780.115$267.48$377.98
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.6060.755$249.05+$49.05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1830.415$248.78+$138.78
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.7280.875$227.01+$38.01
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5660.595$215.44+$10.44
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · No0.6910.655$189.69$10.31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7700.785$152.97+$2.97
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.4240.275$129.80$70.20
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? · Yes0.3800.425$111.84+$11.84
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1140.085$97.14$32.85
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.655$96.32$3.68
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.9100.830$91.21$8.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 12:19Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?BUY0.1399999948$20.00
07-24 12:17Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.92$129.57
07-24 12:08Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2999999912$17.00
07-24 12:06Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
07-24 12:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.299999997$50.00
07-22 13:54UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.6906077348$200.00
07-22 13:53US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999981$100.00
07-22 13:52Kash Patel out by December 31?BUY0.3599999921$20.00
07-22 13:50Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999974$30.00
07-22 11:56Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.5079681252$100.00
07-22 09:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.7699999969$50.00
07-22 09:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8699999957$100.00
07-22 08:40Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.4599999968$20.00
07-22 08:39Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.3374689765$20.00
07-22 08:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8699999957$100.00