Bravo414
0xcd9661393d5a92d3b2ff3c3e1d9c26df11759ee4
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $95.0k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$572.41at 0.618Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$309.61at 0.677Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$210.66at 0.815Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
- +$203.81at 0.570Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$188.34at 0.738Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 12:19 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 12:17 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $129.57 |
| 07-24 12:08 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999912 | $17.00 |
| 07-24 12:06 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 12:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 13:54 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.6906077348 | $200.00 |
| 07-22 13:53 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 13:52 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 13:50 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999974 | $30.00 |
| 07-22 11:56 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.5079681252 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 09:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 09:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8699999957 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 08:40 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.4599999968 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 08:39 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.3374689765 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 08:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8699999957 | $100.00 |