Bravo414
0xcd9661393d5a92d3b2ff3c3e1d9c26df11759ee4
- Realised P&L
- $291.86
- Volume
- $101.6k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$572.41at 0.618Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$309.61at 0.677Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$210.66at 0.815Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
- +$203.82at 0.570Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$188.34at 0.738Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:36 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.2399999993 | $53.00 |
| 09-15 21:35 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $52.77 |
| 09-12 03:46 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 10:27 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.289467584 | $127.06 |
| 09-02 10:26 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $130.87 |
| 09-02 08:57 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.2899999982 | $95.81 |
| 09-02 08:56 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.9012603513 | $99.04 |
| 09-02 08:54 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.2899999983 | $82.99 |
| 08-31 21:08 | US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $30.00 |
| 08-31 21:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.88 |
| 08-31 21:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999996 | $300.00 |
| 08-31 21:00 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $62.48 |
| 08-31 20:59 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $39.71 |
| 08-31 20:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.9689792033 | $319.63 |
| 08-27 04:49 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999945 | $33.00 |