0xcd9661393d5a92d3b2ff3c3e1d9c26df11759ee4
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$572.41at 0.618Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$423.90at 0.310Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- +$309.61at 0.677Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$210.66at 0.815Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
- +$203.82at 0.570Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:33 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.001 | $76.83 |
| 11-01 19:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 19:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $131.88 |
| 11-01 19:27 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:24 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.61 |
| 10-30 08:51 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5902785452 | $45.00 |
| 10-30 08:48 | Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5713954762 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 07:14 | Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2821139738 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 07:13 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.3404626206 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 07:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.0651649754 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 07:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.0649675162 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 07:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 07:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 07:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $30.00 |
| 10-29 07:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $50.00 |