PolyBot

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Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.06 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.14 to 0.23. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.151010
0.184050
0.202070
0.222090
0.2910100
0.3011111
0.3124135
0.758143
0.76300443
0.80500943
0.8150993
0.82201,013

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.147272
0.122092
0.1069161
0.07500661
0.0658719
0.04100819
0.0320839
0.0124864

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.867272
0.882092
0.9069161
0.93500661
0.9458719
0.96100819
0.9720839
0.9924864

Spread0.01Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.851010
0.824050
0.802070
0.782090
0.7110100
0.7011111
0.6924135
0.258143
0.24300443
0.20500943
0.1950993
0.18201,013

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SidechickYes267.59
Dr.PNLYes121.06
ImSweatingYes50
gfdgfvfvssddYes40
balthazarYes36.52
AJSVYes33.76
naniotoYes24
smarterstratYes20
LornaPredictsYes19.17
a5533Yes10
suntoriYes8
Numitus1994Yes2.1
darthgeek1338No354.97
X-Rabbit.SezuNo250
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951No19.23
DapsyNo8

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:36:48SELLYes0.1760$10.20
01:36:46BUYNo0.8320$16.60
01:36:45BUYNo0.78250$195.00
01:36:45BUYNo0.779999997919$15.00
11:55:12SELLYes0.222$0.42
08:32:16SELLNo0.7817$12.89
08:32:10SELLNo0.7917$13.05
08:32:07BUYYes0.209999997337$7.67
11:33:43SELLNo0.7214$9.73
11:33:42BUYYes0.18999999714$2.57
19:52:54BUYYes0.209999999122$4.60
19:52:52SELLNo0.7920$15.80
01:29:22SELLYes0.20$0.00
02:48:06BUYYes0.2320$4.60
00:21:55BUYNo0.7510$7.50
17:02:49BUYYes0.2550$12.50
22:00:21BUYNo0.6984$57.96
00:24:31SELLYes0.12$0.21
22:31:39BUYYes0.17272726158$10.00
20:46:04BUYYes0.1542134928130$20.00
19:45:48SELLYes0.0720$1.40
04:41:45SELLYes0.120$2.00
20:42:25BUYNo0.8033583053271$217.69
01:26:37BUYYes0.248$1.92
13:12:27BUYYes0.321$6.30