nanioto
0x53b325cac27fa60c0f8548845df3f3b1e62d7f9a
- Realised P&L
- $-619.32
- Volume
- $34.8k
- Markets traded
- 535
- Open portfolio
- $252.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded535
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.22at 0.230Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- +$26.97at 0.190Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?
- +$23.29at 0.193Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
- +$23.11at 0.170Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?
- +$21.22at 0.235Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 22:20 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $19.98 |
| 10-13 21:30 | Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | BUY | 0.8299999961 | $16.99 |
| 10-13 18:22 | Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 10-13 17:24 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $18.90 |
| 10-13 15:13 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.36 |
| 10-13 15:06 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 10-13 12:28 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.8509999973 | $22.98 |
| 10-13 11:44 | Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | BUY | 0.6989999929 | $18.87 |
| 10-13 03:21 | Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? | SELL | 0.64 | $17.28 |
| 10-12 23:53 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.33 |
| 10-12 23:09 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | BUY | 0.3581481481 | $9.67 |
| 10-12 19:02 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $13.77 |
| 10-12 14:39 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $15.93 |
| 10-12 13:42 | Will Sui reach $1.60 before 2027? | BUY | 0.6599999785 | $8.00 |
| 10-12 13:01 | Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | BUY | 0.585999994 | $1.76 |