PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Arkenibon

0x6e2ba3fe3b0750d6935fc7fdf80d25298c72ce12

Realised P&L
$-37.45
Volume
$739.50
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$3.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5000.635$1.27+$0.27
Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.300$1.15+$0.15
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7400.550$0.74−$0.26
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1800.019$0.33−$2.67
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$1.00
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00−$2.00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3860.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 08:55SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?SELL0.991$4.21
10-18 18:20Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-18 18:20Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.8279996357$1.00
10-18 18:18Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026?BUY0.859999914$1.00
10-18 18:16Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-18 01:09Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-18 01:08Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0946342387$1.00
10-18 01:06Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-13 19:49Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?SELL0.89$3.18
10-11 19:05Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
10-11 19:05Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.5$2.00
10-10 21:23Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-10 21:22Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?BUY0.6989999752$2.00
10-04 06:41Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-04 06:41Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.6099999116$2.00