PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

5ms

0xe23cfeb33cb876834608b57c6e070ba2dd0c56ee

Realised P&L
$-6.0k
Volume
$83.9k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$265.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.3130.300$120.00−$5.00
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.2900.170$68.00−$48.00
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.655$52.40+$0.40
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · No0.1800.090$18.00−$18.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0310.026$5.30−$0.90
Will SpaceXAI have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0100.026$1.39+$0.86
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1400.019$0.78−$4.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.0660.000$0.00−$130.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET · Up0.0540.000$0.00−$34.81
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$12.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.3930.000$0.00−$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down0.1070.000$0.00−$250.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00−$249.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.1450.000$0.00−$382.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.1890.000$0.00−$55.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.3599999971$5.00
11-01 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.3799999924$5.00
11-01 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.3799999924$5.00
11-01 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.3899999945$5.00
11-01 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.3899999945$5.00
11-01 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.4199999966$25.00
11-01 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.4199999966$25.00
11-01 17:55Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.28$84.00
10-28 20:54Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?BUY0.75$3.90
10-24 13:55Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.031$4.65
10-24 13:54Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.09$12.08
10-24 13:54Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.008$12.79
10-22 12:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.6868323217$25.00
10-22 12:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.4$100.00
10-22 11:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.369999999$100.00