Gaby99
0x3d7459496d0a2a14e6b5ec5f836f4be5ac36b519
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar26.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.792 | 0.790 | $219.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.835 | $200.40 | −$1.20 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.936 | 0.935 | $200.03 | −$0.07 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No | 0.740 | 0.725 | $122.47 | −$2.53 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.540 | $116.38 | −$8.62 |
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.443 | 0.280 | $84.03 | −$48.97 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.235 | $51.66 | +$1.66 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.225 | $16.42 | −$2.42 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.220 | $8.83 | +$1.25 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.021 | $3.08 | −$0.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.113Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$144.05at 0.369Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$10.13at 0.659Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.53at 0.237OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- +$5.73at 0.036Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:41 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $201.60 |
| 09-16 01:31 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2581559118 | $18.84 |
| 09-15 23:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0266180667 | $3.99 |
| 09-15 12:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999996 | $21.00 |
| 09-15 12:13 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $21.40 |
| 09-15 08:17 | GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 08:15 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.7399999996 | $125.00 |
| 09-13 13:30 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | BUY | 0.1888210369 | $7.58 |
| 09-13 13:22 | GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3647999872 | $6.00 |
| 09-11 03:47 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SELL | 0.27 | $70.43 |
| 09-11 03:44 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9349999997 | $97.10 |
| 09-11 03:42 | GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4499999996 | $125.00 |
| 09-11 03:42 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $125.00 |
| 09-11 03:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.225637081 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 00:58 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7917111442 | $220.00 |