darthgeek1338
0x44fccfc4f7653fc79c386d1bcb2181d730a4ac29
- Realised P&L
- $944.62
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 2,293
- Open portfolio
- $334.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,293
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.681Grok 4.4 released by June 30?
- +$1.5kat 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 21:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 16? | BUY | 0.986 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.9850138067 | $4.99 |
| 10-13 21:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.99 |
| 10-13 21:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.43 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.21 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:41 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 15? | BUY | 0.968 | $4.99 |
| 10-13 21:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.9950039841 | $4.99 |
| 10-13 21:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 19? | BUY | 0.988 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.9911071429 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:30 | Will Solana dip to $90 in October? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.35 |
| 10-13 21:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16? | BUY | 0.47 | $5.00 |