Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-10-01
- Resolves by
- https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.026 | 135 | 135 |
| 0.029 | 100 | 235 |
| 0.030 | 49 | 284 |
| 0.033 | 40 | 324 |
| 0.034 | 33 | 357 |
| 0.045 | 277 | 634 |
| 0.060 | 50 | 684 |
| 0.062 | 45 | 729 |
| 0.063 | 36 | 765 |
| 0.072 | 50 | 815 |
| 0.073 | 26 | 841 |
| 0.074 | 30 | 871 |
Spread0.012Mid0.020
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.014 | 13 | 13 |
| 0.011 | 40 | 53 |
| 0.010 | 230 | 283 |
| 0.005 | 150 | 433 |
| 0.004 | 250 | 683 |
| 0.002 | 268 | 951 |
| 0.001 | 362 | 1,313 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.986 | 13 | 13 |
| 0.989 | 40 | 53 |
| 0.990 | 230 | 283 |
| 0.995 | 150 | 433 |
| 0.996 | 250 | 683 |
| 0.998 | 268 | 951 |
| 0.999 | 362 | 1,313 |
Spread0.012Mid0.980
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.974 | 135 | 135 |
| 0.971 | 100 | 235 |
| 0.970 | 49 | 284 |
| 0.967 | 40 | 324 |
| 0.966 | 33 | 357 |
| 0.955 | 277 | 634 |
| 0.940 | 50 | 684 |
| 0.938 | 45 | 729 |
| 0.937 | 36 | 765 |
| 0.928 | 50 | 815 |
| 0.927 | 26 | 841 |
| 0.926 | 30 | 871 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| molodoyy | Yes | 1,317.45 |
| claudemole | Yes | 865.79 |
| balthazar | Yes | 693.45 |
| Rr55 | Yes | 400 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 363.59 |
| x1099 | Yes | 300.01 |
| Tee1000 | Yes | 264.35 |
| acal | Yes | 253.23 |
| dgfd76 | Yes | 105.3 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 97.72 |
| GingerMcKenna | Yes | 65.02 |
| chaosj88 | Yes | 59.48 |
| 0x45e606f7849330AdAd37875f835FBdD1B7868FCa-1775496679263 | Yes | 53.21 |
| 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658 | Yes | 49.76 |
| AJSV | Yes | 49.33 |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 49.01 |
| LesterDiamond | Yes | 36.58 |
| thursdays | Yes | 35.5 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:38:34 | SELL | Yes | 0.013 | 24 | $0.31 |
| 14:14:39 | SELL | Yes | 0.011 | 7 | $0.08 |
| 10:36:34 | SELL | Yes | 0.015 | 1 | $0.01 |
| 10:35:06 | SELL | Yes | 0.015 | 0 | $0.00 |
| 10:34:55 | SELL | Yes | 0.015 | 3 | $0.05 |
| 21:21:25 | BUY | No | 0.99113 | 10 | $9.91 |
| 21:34:37 | SELL | Yes | 0.012 | 22 | $0.26 |
| 21:32:49 | SELL | No | 0.986 | 33 | $32.31 |
| 06:33:01 | BUY | No | 0.9929999963 | 1 | $1.07 |
| 05:02:48 | BUY | No | 0.9929999966 | 2 | $1.73 |
| 04:27:40 | BUY | No | 0.9929999966 | 2 | $1.74 |
| 01:35:24 | BUY | No | 0.9929999954 | 1 | $1.30 |
| 00:53:19 | BUY | No | 0.9929999982 | 2 | $1.66 |
| 01:39:03 | BUY | No | 0.9929999963 | 1 | $1.07 |
| 01:05:18 | BUY | No | 0.993 | 2 | $1.71 |
| 00:33:30 | BUY | No | 0.993 | 33 | $32.52 |
| 00:33:30 | BUY | No | 0.993 | 40 | $39.72 |
| 08:46:09 | BUY | No | 0.993 | 10 | $9.93 |
| 02:22:28 | BUY | Yes | 0.01 | 36 | $0.35 |
| 01:10:01 | BUY | No | 0.9909999978 | 1 | $1.36 |
| 00:29:13 | SELL | Yes | 0.008 | 5 | $0.04 |
| 00:25:55 | BUY | No | 0.992 | 2 | $1.50 |
| 00:12:58 | BUY | No | 0.992 | 2 | $1.67 |
| 13:41:40 | SELL | Yes | 0.02 | 21 | $0.42 |
| 11:51:42 | SELL | Yes | 0.02 | 8 | $0.16 |