0x45e606f7849330AdAd37875f835FBdD1B7868FCa-1775496679263
0x45e606f7849330adad37875f835fbdd1b7868fca
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $136.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,392
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,392
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$464.51at 0.686Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?
- +$366.69at 0.582Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?
- +$348.89at 0.744Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 11?
- +$335.25at 0.418Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 11?
- +$317.65at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 13:24 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.05 |
| 10-18 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 10:26 | Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q3 adjusted revenue be above $12.8B? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 10:19 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.953155373 | $139.26 |
| 10-17 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $18.95 |
| 10-17 09:15 | Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 08:56 | Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $33.5B? | BUY | 0.8799999507 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 06:59 | Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.76 |
| 10-16 18:00 | Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.65B? | BUY | 0.48 | $5.95 |
| 10-16 17:18 | Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix <22%? | BUY | 0.1716143498 | $3.06 |
| 10-16 13:56 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $503,000 and $507,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 13:51 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 13:47 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |