613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.
0x613b668ef24d3a37417cb5756c5943cae761da44
- Realised P&L
- $20.7k
- Volume
- $14.61M
- Markets traded
- 83,640
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded83,640
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.41at 0.005Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?
- +$99.80at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C or below on May 19?
- +$99.70at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 19?
- +$99.60at 0.004Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?
- +$99.60at 0.004Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or below on May 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:35 | Will Joao Cancelo join Juventus? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 03:45 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%? | SELL | 0.034 | $1.26 |
| 08-03 03:20 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.22 |
| 08-03 02:54 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be at least 57.0 in July? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.54 |
| 08-03 02:51 | Will A Just Russia win the next Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.07 |
| 08-03 02:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.80 |
| 08-03 01:41 | Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 08-03 00:28 | Exact Score: CA Lanús 2 - 3 Instituto AC Córdoba? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 08-03 00:14 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 22:24 | Exact Score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.83 |
| 08-02 22:02 | Will Bu Laia Hill win the 2026 Hawaii Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.32 |
| 08-02 21:57 | Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.99 |
| 08-02 21:48 | Exact Score: CSD Macara 3 - 3 Guayaquil City FC? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.79 |
| 08-02 21:45 | Will Party of Pensioners win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.64 |