claudemole
0xf4561d7dc518c1a50655e84c4e634f9b713bd568
- Realised P&L
- $156.62
- Volume
- $68.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,178
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,178
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$325.00at 0.480Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$145.10at 0.126Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?
- +$139.94at 0.748Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$134.96at 0.134Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?
- +$109.99at 0.086Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 08:57 | Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.628366605 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 08:27 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6815466748 | $22.34 |
| 09-09 08:53 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 10:54 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999986 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 10:50 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.09 |
| 09-08 06:43 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $2.20 |
| 09-07 13:16 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.75 |
| 09-06 14:50 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.4792554992 | $5.66 |
| 09-06 03:02 | Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $3.70 |
| 09-05 10:22 | Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | BUY | 0.2699999896 | $15.00 |
| 09-05 10:21 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9940225444 | $15.00 |
| 09-04 18:46 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.924999946 | $15.00 |
| 09-04 18:35 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0234512428 | $1.47 |
| 09-04 18:35 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.25 |
| 09-04 18:29 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1753246668 | $15.00 |