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Traders

claudemole

0xf4561d7dc518c1a50655e84c4e634f9b713bd568

Realised P&L
$156.62
Volume
$68.8k
Markets traded
1,178
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,178
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4470.315$389.54$163.46
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3910.355$317.47$32.53
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.525$87.50+$62.50
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours? · Yes0.1500.335$67.00+$37.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.445$55.63$14.38
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.6100.330$49.23$41.77
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.5400.992$36.72+$16.72
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.465$26.83+$11.83
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2320.205$26.48$3.52
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1930.065$25.20$49.80
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.6280.953$22.75+$7.75
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · No0.4500.605$20.17+$5.17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes0.4000.485$18.19+$3.19
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.1620.020$17.32$122.68
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? · Yes0.9571.000$15.67+$0.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 08:57Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.628366605$15.00
09-12 08:27Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.6815466748$22.34
09-09 08:53Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5699999886$15.00
09-08 10:54Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2599999986$15.00
09-08 10:50Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?SELL0.28$3.09
09-08 06:43Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.62$2.20
09-07 13:16Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?SELL0.32$3.75
09-06 14:50Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.4792554992$5.66
09-06 03:02Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.86$3.70
09-05 10:22Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?BUY0.2699999896$15.00
09-05 10:21Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 13, 2026?BUY0.9940225444$15.00
09-04 18:46Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?BUY0.924999946$15.00
09-04 18:35Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.0234512428$1.47
09-04 18:35Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.03$1.25
09-04 18:29Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.1753246668$15.00