acal
0x250c209da4b8cd7543a12eed529efc68b6982774
- Realised P&L
- $14.0k
- Volume
- $17.54M
- Markets traded
- 10,751
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,751
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$998.79at 0.009Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
- +$677.00at 0.033Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?
- +$627.79at 0.018Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?
- +$555.25at 0.008Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 2?
- +$490.00at 0.020Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:51 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.01024172 | $10.24 |
| 09-17 13:50 | Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0933706414 | $23.35 |
| 09-17 06:59 | Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0634407365 | $5.51 |
| 09-16 08:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | SELL | 0.131 | $1.65 |
| 09-16 08:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.30 |
| 09-15 18:59 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on September 17? | SELL | 0.313 | $46.91 |
| 09-15 18:46 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $126.00 |
| 09-15 16:07 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $32.40 |
| 09-15 15:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on September 16? | SELL | 0.063 | $1.64 |
| 09-15 14:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 14:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 15? | SELL | 0.245 | $98.00 |
| 09-15 13:30 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | SELL | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 07:27 | Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.047 | $7.32 |
| 09-15 07:26 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 07:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 15? | SELL | 0.65 | $29.15 |