PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

acal

0x250c209da4b8cd7543a12eed529efc68b6982774

Realised P&L
$16.5k
Volume
$18.47M
Markets traded
11,790
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11,790
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0370.180$54.00+$43.00
Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.210$43.50+$41.43
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0210.069$35.93+$24.95
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? · No0.0600.278$27.75+$21.75
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0330.072$26.67+$14.38
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0110.009$25.20−$5.01
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0130.017$23.49+$4.72
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.0400.030$22.00−$7.08
Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0190.060$21.91+$14.77
Will USD/BRL hit 7 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.0280.084$21.74+$14.56
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.0700.215$21.50+$14.50
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0300.252$18.31+$16.13
Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.090$17.31+$9.62
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0020.001$17.01−$47.74
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? · No0.0470.054$16.35+$2.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:461win FDV above $45M one day after launch?SELL0.0206666667$3.10
11-01 19:451win FDV above $45M one day after launch?SELL0.03$1.50
11-01 19:441win FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.03$9.00
10-31 07:40Will XRP reach $1.80 in October?SELL0.001$0.10
10-31 07:38Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1435911867$11.99
10-31 07:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?SELL0.13$1.30
10-31 07:33Cambria listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.08$0.56
10-30 13:56Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October?SELL0.0190431034$2.21
10-30 13:55Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?SELL0.0060826446$0.74
10-30 11:49Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.0346711$3.47
10-30 10:54Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?SELL0.0261497006$8.73
10-30 08:55Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.211$63.30
10-30 08:23Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.0191304348$0.88
10-30 08:23Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.048$9.60
10-30 08:04Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?SELL0.0020838504$0.12