acal
0x250c209da4b8cd7543a12eed529efc68b6982774
- Realised P&L
- $16.5k
- Volume
- $18.47M
- Markets traded
- 11,790
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,790
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$998.79at 0.009Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
- +$891.04at 0.005Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?
- +$757.91at 0.022Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
- +$677.00at 0.033Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?
- +$627.79at 0.018Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:46 | 1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0206666667 | $3.10 |
| 11-01 19:45 | 1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 19:44 | 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.03 | $9.00 |
| 10-31 07:40 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in October? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 10-31 07:38 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1435911867 | $11.99 |
| 10-31 07:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 10-31 07:33 | Cambria listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.56 |
| 10-30 13:56 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October? | SELL | 0.0190431034 | $2.21 |
| 10-30 13:55 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October? | SELL | 0.0060826446 | $0.74 |
| 10-30 11:49 | Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0346711 | $3.47 |
| 10-30 10:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | SELL | 0.0261497006 | $8.73 |
| 10-30 08:55 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.211 | $63.30 |
| 10-30 08:23 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0191304348 | $0.88 |
| 10-30 08:23 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.048 | $9.60 |
| 10-30 08:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? | SELL | 0.0020838504 | $0.12 |